Other European Leagues · resolved market
Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f2cb0d240b843ec1d30504c465ec3aaac630599a8b7642cd559c65e5c93c8e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Over | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.95 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 53c | 1,414$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.4 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Under | 52c | 1,038$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.46 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 42c | 1,035$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.61 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 766.35$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.04 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 64c | 515.32$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.07 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Over | 45c | 434.7$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.62 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 53c | 401.25$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.19 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 325.91$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.39 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 53c | 311.3$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.55 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Over | 37c | 299.03$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.03 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +40%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 63c | 291.36$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.66 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 44c | 280.31$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.34 | 125 | 64%80 W · 45 L | +13.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 55c | 280.2$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.09 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6b…ca1bbacked Over | 37c | 262.57$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 43c | 233.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d17…9054backed Over | 61c | 228.5$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 45c | 225.58$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.51 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 56c | 195.42$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.12 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 56c | 181.09$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.57 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 56c | 135.45$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.45 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 46c | 130$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 52c | 127.8$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.34 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 43c | 98.88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 56c | 96.57$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.65 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 52c | 84.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 58c | 74.04$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 35c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 38c | 59.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x125c…f50abacked Over | 47c | 42.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ba81backed Over | 41c | 34.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Under | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 2.5this page
- Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 1.5Under won
- Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.