Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f8a1f1fd5aaea0b428ac05e27f30cb84b66c03763331f745227bc4897127188
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,310
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,492
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,310 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 63c | 6,499$4,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,417.35 | 1,490 | 54.6%813 W · 677 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a6…ab62backed Over | 36c | 4,790$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.3 | 138 | 31.2%43 W · 95 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Over | 37c | 2,500$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 64c | 2,297$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.04 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Over | 20c | 2,193$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.46 | 488 | 44.3%216 W · 272 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 65c | 2,007$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.53 | 1,792 | 51.1%916 W · 876 L | +50.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Over | 35c | 1,009$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353 | 89 | 29.2%26 W · 63 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 2,152 | 53.3%1,147 W · 1,005 L | +58.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 35c | 579.22$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.14 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 38c | 555$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.9 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed Over | 38c | 539$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.82 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Over | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 197 | 44.2%87 W · 110 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 36c | 330$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 19c | 235.37$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 1,133 | 31.1%352 W · 781 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Over | 36c | 232.5$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 903 | 37.5%339 W · 564 L | -18.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 66c | 213.8$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.74 | 1,587 | 43.8%695 W · 892 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Over | 34c | 209.16$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.11 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Over | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 34c | 189$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.47 | 2,222 | 37.4%832 W · 1,390 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Under | 65c | 154$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Under | 66c | 144$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 530 | 47.2%250 W · 280 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Over | 36c | 124.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.78 | 238 | 32.4%77 W · 161 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked Over | 35c | 112$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 36c | 111$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Over | 36c | 110$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…3be7backed Over | 36c | 108.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Over | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 181 | 41.4%75 W · 106 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…2e90backed Over | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Over | 37c | 75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 390 | 44.6%174 W · 216 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Over | 34c | 71.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 642 | 43%276 W · 366 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…c314backed Under | 66c | 67.21$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under | 67c | 64.3$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 247 | 35.2%87 W · 160 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 476 | 30.7%146 W · 330 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Over | 40c | 41.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -10.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e8…ef2bbacked Under | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 645 | 56.6%365 W · 280 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 35c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 66c | 35.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Under | 66c | 28.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 357 | 55.7%199 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x072c…ac4abacked Under | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 117 | 78.6%92 W · 25 L | +19.5wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +28%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…831dbacked Under | 66c | 16.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 187 | 57.2%107 W · 80 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?G2 Esports won
- Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)G2 Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonG2 Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs GIANTX - Game 1 WinnerG2 Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs GIANTX - Game 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.