CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x505639a05b20738e5d5b8a55e0ce47c8e0379b1158f3a982ab4981338609f4ee

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Oxuji Esportsof Johnny Speeds, Oxuji Esports
Resolved: May 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $24,886
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $33,926

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,886 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x82d2…beeabacked Oxuji Esports	49c	2,100$1,029 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,070.96	1,020	52.2%532 W · 488 L	+26.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1661…4b37backed Oxuji Esports	51c	1,767$897 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$869.56	73	49.3%36 W · 37 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Johnny Speeds	50c	945.97$473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$472.99	5,095	55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L	+119.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked Oxuji Esports	40c	928.39$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$558.39	401	48.4%194 W · 207 L	-14.5wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e9c…1fcabacked Johnny Speeds	59c	899.98$531 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530.99	83	24.1%20 W · 63 L	-11.7wins	-0.14per pick	38cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed Oxuji Esports	52c	649.96$337 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$313.01	455	65.9%300 W · 155 L	+21.1wins	+0.05per pick	61cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Johnny Speeds	53c	499.98$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.99	492	45.9%226 W · 266 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Johnny Speeds	51c	484.95$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.32	2,030	53.7%1,091 W · 939 L	+6.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Johnny Speeds	50c	460.36$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.18	2,645	51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L	+21.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x141f…7711backed Johnny Speeds	51c	431.37$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa76c…9db8backed Oxuji Esports	50c	423.33$212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.67	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-3.5wins	-0.25per pick	46cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd816…a60ebacked Johnny Speeds	51c	403.92$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Oxuji Esports	52c	400$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192	5,876	37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L	+71.9wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Johnny Speeds	48c	385.58$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.08	1,146	43.5%499 W · 647 L	-17.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Oxuji Esports	53c	379.07$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.07	314	51.6%162 W · 152 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x218b…625abacked Johnny Speeds	49c	359.56$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.59	231	29%67 W · 164 L	-4.9wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa094…3f07backed Johnny Speeds	42c	347.98$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.46	249	42.2%105 W · 144 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x91e7…bbf0backed Johnny Speeds	51c	334$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.34	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-2.4wins	-0.18per pick	49cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d16…821abacked Oxuji Esports	50c	319.77$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.43	30	60%18 W · 12 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed Johnny Speeds	72c	292.72$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.87	231	72.3%167 W · 64 L	+27.0wins	+0.12per pick	61cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb897…e44ebacked Johnny Speeds	42c	259.3$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	149	39.6%59 W · 90 L	-6.5wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8f…870ebacked Johnny Speeds	48c	255.7$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.68	225	42.7%96 W · 129 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x63c6…a5c9backed Oxuji Esports	40c	250$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	231	46.3%107 W · 124 L	+12.8wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a70…0519backed Oxuji Esports	33c	234$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.34	388	35.6%138 W · 250 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0e5e…67c5backed Johnny Speeds	39c	214.18$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.15	305	27.5%84 W · 221 L	-17.6wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed Oxuji Esports	52c	208.07$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.65	640	58.1%372 W · 268 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Johnny Speeds	48c	200.53$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.99	581	49.2%286 W · 295 L	-17.2wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Johnny Speeds	51c	196.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1,178	54.5%642 W · 536 L	-36.7wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x637b…948bbacked Oxuji Esports	69c	161.58$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.95	73	64.4%47 W · 26 L	+9.8wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+29.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x080f…fcc2backed Johnny Speeds	51c	160$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.6	82	50%41 W · 41 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Oxuji Esports	63c	157.7$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.63	1,649	46.9%774 W · 875 L	-28.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Oxuji Esports	46c	147.27$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.11	5,580	47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L	+47.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca97…f3cebacked Johnny Speeds	45c	146.67$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe252…5714backed Oxuji Esports	42c	119.03$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.04	233	35.2%82 W · 151 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Johnny Speeds	47c	113.1$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.8	6,501	42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L	-79.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed Oxuji Esports	40c	112.19$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.17	395	40.3%159 W · 236 L	+29.9wins	+0.08per pick	33cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed Johnny Speeds	46c	109.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.11	332	37%123 W · 209 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x38b7…cfa7backed Oxuji Esports	65c	99.97$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.84	80	58.8%47 W · 33 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Johnny Speeds	46c	97.17$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.14	4,754	43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L	-85.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x156b…c533backed Johnny Speeds	67c	96.18$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.44	222	56.8%126 W · 96 L	-11.4wins	-0.05per pick	62cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0bfe…5c6cbacked Oxuji Esports	29c	96.13$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.13	229	54.6%125 W · 104 L	+7.9wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a06…1391backed Johnny Speeds	66c	89.98$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.63	31	67.7%21 W · 10 L	+3.6wins	+0.12per pick	56cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x89a5…a69abacked Oxuji Esports	48c	83$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.3	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x341c…f86fbacked Johnny Speeds	51c	80.39$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe84…54ddbacked Johnny Speeds	50c	80$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	387	53.2%206 W · 181 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66da…69b0backed Oxuji Esports	72c	78.63$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.02	280	42.5%119 W · 161 L	-7.5wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x66ea…6791backed Johnny Speeds	53c	77.36$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.86	179	48%86 W · 93 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Oxuji Esports	49c	76.35$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.59	1,325	44.1%584 W · 741 L	+44.1wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Johnny Speeds	49c	75.38$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.75	1,041	39.9%415 W · 626 L	+20.5wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x050e…d92fbacked Johnny Speeds	67c	74.63$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	226	58%131 W · 95 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Johnny Speeds	49c	71.99$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.96	1,652	52.9%874 W · 778 L	+60.8wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked Johnny Speeds	28c	60.77$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.02	353	42.8%151 W · 202 L	-6.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97f1…1972backed Johnny Speeds	47c	60$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.4	83	43.4%36 W · 47 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xedd0…731cbacked Oxuji Esports	67c	59.56$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.56	330	60.9%201 W · 129 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2c50backed Johnny Speeds	49c	59.33$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.07	742	39.1%290 W · 452 L	-29.4wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15d1…2f08backed Johnny Speeds	35c	57$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.95	158	46.8%74 W · 84 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Johnny Speeds	48c	51.05$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.29	7,990	50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L	+180.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x18c2…529abacked Johnny Speeds	74c	50$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	124	43.5%54 W · 70 L	-6.9wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8ad…7889backed Johnny Speeds	55c	45.45$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Johnny Speeds	34c	44.52$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.95	1,003	55.7%559 W · 444 L	+24.5wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x38d6…969fbacked Johnny Speeds	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	119	49.6%59 W · 60 L	-5.0wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14b1…d2d8backed Johnny Speeds	56c	40$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.4	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	+54%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Johnny Speeds	65c	40$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.04	161	53.4%86 W · 75 L	-10.5wins	-0.07per pick	60cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b84…e88cbacked Johnny Speeds	51c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.4	44	40.9%18 W · 26 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5dd6…63d3backed Johnny Speeds	31c	39.5$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.31	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Johnny Speeds	58c	38.16$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.97	4,099	51%2,091 W · 2,008 L	+74.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1982…bc7bbacked Oxuji Esports	40c	35.4$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.24	318	45.3%144 W · 174 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked Oxuji Esports	51c	33.5$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.25	861	54.1%466 W · 395 L	+14.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c38…fd63backed Oxuji Esports	61c	31.83$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.41	172	57.6%99 W · 73 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Johnny Speeds	66c	30.3$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	58	63.8%37 W · 21 L	+4.6wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5bd8…1ab1backed Oxuji Esports	50c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe728…9d87backed Oxuji Esports	64c	28.57$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.29	231	50.6%117 W · 114 L	-7.0wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bee…e55cbacked Johnny Speeds	66c	27.27$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	204	57.8%118 W · 86 L	-11.0wins	-0.05per pick	63cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f36…905fbacked Oxuji Esports	74c	27.03$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.03	64	62.5%40 W · 24 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	64cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc62a…76b5backed Oxuji Esports	47c	25.59$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.59	166	47.6%79 W · 87 L	-8.0wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Johnny Speeds	45c	23.93$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.77	1,046	45%471 W · 575 L	+6.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3d…58f5backed Johnny Speeds	50c	21.38$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.69	378	55.3%209 W · 169 L	+5.8wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x02aa…4654backed Oxuji Esports	73c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.4	7	100%7 W · 0 L	+1.7wins	+0.24per pick	76cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Johnny Speeds	51c	19.99$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	489	43.6%213 W · 276 L	-12.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…3af4backed Johnny Speeds	64c	16.39$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.49	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagethis page
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Oxuji Esports - Map 1 WinnerOxuji Esports won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event