Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wuning: Ekaterina Maklakova vs Rina Saigo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50764387c09cb155dc3d1a18653e891b0919ba3336c4689bf93450a50ef6f43f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ekaterina Maklakovaof Ekaterina Maklakova, Rina Saigo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Rina Saigo | 42c | 980.53$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.21 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 45c | 677.76$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.15 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Rina Saigo | 72c | 643.26$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.06 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Rina Saigo | 43c | 639.27$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Rina Saigo | 48c | 617.63$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Rina Saigo | 56c | 570.47$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.22 | 337 | 53.7%181 W · 156 L | +21.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 36c | 562.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.54 | 1,853 | 48.4%897 W · 956 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0284…97f6backed Rina Saigo | 49c | 526.64$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.7 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1aa…9359backed Rina Saigo | 58c | 524.33$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.87 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 65c | 494.85$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.79 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 52c | 416.67$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Ekaterina Maklakova | 52c | 379$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.92 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 32c | 356.22$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.38 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Rina Saigo | 71c | 271.16$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.44 | 643 | 65.9%424 W · 219 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Rina Saigo | 72c | 263$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.96 | 1,723 | 50.1%863 W · 860 L | +29.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a9…27b7backed Rina Saigo | 45c | 225.57$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Ekaterina Maklakova | 46c | 206.81$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.15 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6249…cee9backed Rina Saigo | 52c | 177.37$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.98 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Rina Saigo | 41c | 143.84$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.32 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Ekaterina Maklakova | 43c | 142.22$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.86 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bad…ed33backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 61c | 123.61$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 23c | 120$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 482 | 35.9%173 W · 309 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 23c | 120$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…31f9backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 34c | 116.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.99 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Rina Saigo | 47c | 107.75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.99 | 399 | 41.9%167 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…ca10backed Rina Saigo | 58c | 88.02$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Rina Saigo | 47c | 80.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.89 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 56c | 75.34$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.05 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Rina Saigo | 65c | 61.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 68c | 56.19$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Rina Saigo | 52c | 53.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x348c…c8efbacked Rina Saigo | 31c | 53.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 61c | 51.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 209 | 57.9%121 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 47c | 48.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…86dbbacked Rina Saigo | 65c | 46.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 163 | 62%101 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ekaterina Maklakova | 45c | 46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…1f55backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 43c | 45.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0d…3646backed Rina Saigo | 50c | 44.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…7fdfbacked Ekaterina Maklakova | 69c | 43.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Ekaterina Maklakova | 51c | 43.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…d77fbacked Ekaterina Maklakova | 58c | 40.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +29%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 64c | 37.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Rina Saigo | 27c | 37.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 580 | 45.5%264 W · 316 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Ekaterina Maklakova | 58c | 36.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Rina Saigo | 33c | 36.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1288…d200backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 64c | 34.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2a…7682backed Rina Saigo | 31c | 33.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 401 | 35.7%143 W · 258 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Ekaterina Maklakova | 50c | 27.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 75c | 26.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 1,289 | 65.2%841 W · 448 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc38…bb0ebacked Ekaterina Maklakova | 66c | 24.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 193 | 49.7%96 W · 97 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 54c | 21.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Rina Saigo | 53c | 21.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 1,120 | 56.5%633 W · 487 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.