MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5140484aeb727b1b4b5b90f9079959d7e1aebfe111d32513ea24d42fba9b5004
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Tigersof Kansas City Royals, Detroit Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,847
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,075
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,847 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 19,979$9,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,107.98 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Kansas City Royals | 47c | 12,171$5,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,720.41 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Detroit Tigers | 53c | 11,554$6,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,430.58 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Detroit Tigers | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0317…6289backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 5,297$2,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,513.81 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 4,449$2,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,027.24 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Detroit Tigers | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Detroit Tigers | 50c | 2,607$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.51 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 1,783$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.16 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Detroit Tigers | 60c | 1,355$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.25 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Detroit Tigers | 53c | 1,087$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.89 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 891$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.86 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 675$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.75 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 534.16$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.37 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Detroit Tigers | 52c | 302.46$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.18 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeeee…ccb7backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 299.1$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Detroit Tigers | 67c | 207.03$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.1 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Detroit Tigers | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Detroit Tigers | 59c | 157$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.69 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 133.7$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.35 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…fec8backed Detroit Tigers | 70c | 130$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…9931backed Kansas City Royals | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 100.62$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.26 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Detroit Tigers | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Detroit Tigers | 48c | 93.85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…ecbfbacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 91.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Kansas City Royals | 39c | 84.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 59.69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…0d0dbacked Kansas City Royals | 47c | 55.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Detroit Tigers | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…1c52backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 115 | 62.6%72 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Detroit Tigers | 55c | 41.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Detroit Tigers | 54c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c75…154abacked Detroit Tigers | 55c | 37.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2a…1e46backed Detroit Tigers | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Detroit Tigers | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 19.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.