Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Duquesne Dukes vs. Loyola Chicago Ramblers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51915a3542dcd4f0b5b2b837a54dffe1ae7bc4518e4d5592fb5965c0acd34ca2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Duquesne Dukesof Duquesne Dukes, Loyola Chicago Ramblers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,803
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,803 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Duquesne Dukes | 68c | 10,470$7,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,335.41 | 123 | 64.2%79 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 31c | 1,575$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.25 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 34c | 1,470$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 32c | 1,087$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.73 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 36c | 999.62$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.08 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 26c | 846.51$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.74 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 32c | 787.14$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.88 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Duquesne Dukes | 68c | 710.87$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.91 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Duquesne Dukes | 61c | 613.16$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.69 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 31c | 594.19$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.2 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 31c | 569$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.39 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 30c | 473.97$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.19 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Duquesne Dukes | 79c | 466.99$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.9 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 19c | 424$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.56 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Duquesne Dukes | 67c | 422.71$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.49 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 32c | 374.72$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.9 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 31c | 332.44$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.06 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Duquesne Dukes | 64c | 327.01$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.67 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 33c | 322$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.26 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 31c | 320.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 34c | 260$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 31c | 162.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 31c | 160.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -9.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 34c | 147$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd572…5510backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 31c | 145.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 31c | 118.6$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Duquesne Dukes | 63c | 107.32$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bc…963cbacked Duquesne Dukes | 75c | 102$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa918…8d4bbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 15c | 96.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 34c | 75.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 33c | 75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 126 | 17.5%22 W · 104 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Duquesne Dukes | 62c | 65.77$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 33c | 61.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 33c | 50.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Duquesne Dukes | 72c | 49.31$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd68…503bbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 34c | 45.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 32c | 44.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 31c | 44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 23c | 43.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Duquesne Dukes | 79c | 43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 252 | 46.4%117 W · 135 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Duquesne Dukes | 62c | 39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Duquesne Dukes | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87de…6e5bbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Duquesne Dukes | 80c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Duquesne Dukes | 63c | 19.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 213 | 42.3%90 W · 123 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.