Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Duquesne Dukes vs. Fordham Rams
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51add20bde669f2f6c8c4b2d57e75957dfafb08ef58c1fce61330640646ded6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Duquesne Dukesof Duquesne Dukes, Fordham Rams
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,671
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Fordham Rams | 41c | 3,384$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.23 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Fordham Rams | 29c | 3,246$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.23 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Fordham Rams | 33c | 3,011$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Duquesne Dukes | 68c | 2,606$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.07 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Fordham Rams | 21c | 2,121$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.41 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Fordham Rams | 26c | 1,123$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.28 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Duquesne Dukes | 62c | 1,000$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.64 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Duquesne Dukes | 66c | 728.08$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.55 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Fordham Rams | 30c | 625.48$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.29 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Fordham Rams | 19c | 570$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.3 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f5…8be3backed Fordham Rams | 22c | 453.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 127 | 33.9%43 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Fordham Rams | 20c | 418.32$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Fordham Rams | 39c | 244.43$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.88 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Fordham Rams | 15c | 235.19$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Duquesne Dukes | 73c | 174.05$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Fordham Rams | 29c | 163.03$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Duquesne Dukes | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Fordham Rams | 44c | 144.66$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Fordham Rams | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Duquesne Dukes | 74c | 87.21$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Fordham Rams | 47c | 83.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Duquesne Dukes | 53c | 55.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Duquesne Dukes | 50c | 51.19$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked Fordham Rams | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b96…f098backed Fordham Rams | 22c | 49.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Fordham Rams | 41c | 49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Duquesne Dukes | 59c | 46.43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Duquesne Dukes | 58c | 43.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Duquesne Dukes | 72c | 41.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Duquesne Dukes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Fordham Rams | 47c | 34.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Duquesne Dukes | 66c | 21.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Duquesne Dukes | 53c | 21.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83fb…e89bbacked Fordham Rams | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 169 | 52.7%89 W · 80 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Duquesne Dukes vs. Fordham Ramsthis page
- Duquesne Dukes vs. Fordham Rams: O/U 143.5Under won
- Duquesne Dukes vs. Fordham Rams: O/U 144.5Under won
- Duquesne Dukes vs. Fordham Rams: O/U 145.5Under won
- Duquesne Dukes vs. Fordham Rams: O/U 146.5Under won
- Duquesne Dukes vs. Fordham Rams: O/U 147.5Under won
- Spread: Duquesne Dukes (-1.5)Duquesne Dukes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.