Lol · resolved market
LoL: B2U vs Arctic Pandas (BO3) - NLC Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51d6665a4699677d49eef8759d4d59e0b2a133e9eb6daaaf9feed1eaa65b5bcb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arctic Pandasof B2U, Arctic Pandas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,482
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed B2U | 13c | 1,287$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.32 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed B2U | 13c | 1,287$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.31 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked B2U | 16c | 891$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.64 | 549 | 34.8%191 W · 358 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed B2U | 20c | 724$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.6 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked B2U | 14c | 633.33$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.04 | 448 | 46.2%207 W · 241 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked B2U | 12c | 546.84$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.02 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed B2U | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed B2U | 52c | 448$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.27 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed B2U | 20c | 408$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 218 | 36.7%80 W · 138 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf8…2dc8backed Arctic Pandas | 72c | 387.2$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.6 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d14…36fdbacked Arctic Pandas | 48c | 292$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.67 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | +13.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e84…2e87backed B2U | 8c | 290.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 77 | 70.1%54 W · 23 L | +12.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed B2U | 14c | 256$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed B2U | 10c | 201.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 1,058 | 23.5%249 W · 809 L | -75.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked B2U | 16c | 130.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd1…0ac8backed B2U | 20c | 128$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed B2U | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked B2U | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4d…44e5backed B2U | 20c | 80.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed B2U | 22c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: B2U vs Arctic Pandas (BO3) - NLC Playoffsthis page
- LoL: B2U vs Arctic Pandas - Game 1 WinnerArctic Pandas won
- LoL: B2U vs Arctic Pandas - Game 2 WinnerArctic Pandas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.