Tennis · resolved market
ITF kiseljak: Vladyslav Orlov vs Alen Mujakic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52bca72917adc0a96493020469e028c42ba74982bfd27e417941bfc43b43f5ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vladyslav Orlovof Vladyslav Orlov, Alen Mujakic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,642
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,805
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,642 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Alen Mujakic | 22c | 1,278$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.55 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Vladyslav Orlov | 75c | 440$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec28…8d7abacked Alen Mujakic | 25c | 398.79$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.3 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Vladyslav Orlov | 72c | 259.58$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.7 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Vladyslav Orlov | 77c | 226.32$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.69 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Alen Mujakic | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x890a…7623backed Vladyslav Orlov | 76c | 197.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.26 | 249 | 75.5%188 W · 61 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Alen Mujakic | 24c | 186.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.46 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x926d…f416backed Vladyslav Orlov | 79c | 161.76$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.12 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Alen Mujakic | 24c | 155.54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Vladyslav Orlov | 78c | 123.97$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Alen Mujakic | 23c | 121.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Alen Mujakic | 13c | 104.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Alen Mujakic | 19c | 97.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 221 | 13.6%30 W · 191 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Alen Mujakic | 25c | 81.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 580 | 48.4%281 W · 299 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Vladyslav Orlov | 75c | 77.39$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Vladyslav Orlov | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Vladyslav Orlov | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Vladyslav Orlov | 71c | 55.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Alen Mujakic | 24c | 44.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ec…931dbacked Alen Mujakic | 46c | 28.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 433 | 36.7%159 W · 274 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Vladyslav Orlov | 80c | 27.34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad0…cdc2backed Vladyslav Orlov | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Vladyslav Orlov | 74c | 15.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bad…4e22backed Vladyslav Orlov | 73c | 14.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.