Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kayseri: Alana Subasic vs Irem Kurt
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52c7244fb6bbba88f5026ed7b3e61701206b9fbec59c4732f75c4a1f072c2490
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alana Subasicof Alana Subasic, Irem Kurt
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,775
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,775 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Irem Kurt | 25c | 5,003$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.69 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x841d…4a16backed Alana Subasic | 67c | 2,050$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa724…7bdabacked Alana Subasic | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.99 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Irem Kurt | 9c | 957.47$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.78 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Irem Kurt | 35c | 883.92$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.48 | 332 | 53.6%178 W · 154 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Alana Subasic | 68c | 699.97$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.99 | 308 | 57.1%176 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Irem Kurt | 34c | 636$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.96 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Irem Kurt | 30c | 609.96$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.47 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Irem Kurt | 33c | 590.38$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.84 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Alana Subasic | 69c | 581.6$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.6 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61dd…bb24backed Alana Subasic | 58c | 520.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.62 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Irem Kurt | 19c | 408.38$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.6 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8286…701fbacked Irem Kurt | 28c | 384.8$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Alana Subasic | 75c | 354.93$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Irem Kurt | 34c | 299.97$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 479 | 56.6%271 W · 208 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Alana Subasic | 78c | 297$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.07 | 640 | 65.9%422 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Irem Kurt | 30c | 288.44$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.12 | 348 | 47.1%164 W · 184 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Irem Kurt | 28c | 286.16$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6b…b245backed Alana Subasic | 76c | 263.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.26 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Irem Kurt | 28c | 233.35$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.2 | 377 | 38.2%144 W · 233 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…d987backed Alana Subasic | 78c | 210.4$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…4ef6backed Irem Kurt | 10c | 202.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked Alana Subasic | 72c | 199.95$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Irem Kurt | 26c | 198.64$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.88 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Alana Subasic | 71c | 165.56$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.34 | 214 | 48.1%103 W · 111 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Alana Subasic | 65c | 159$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Alana Subasic | 77c | 155.46$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Irem Kurt | 32c | 153.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Alana Subasic | 73c | 150.96$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…3941backed Alana Subasic | 75c | 140$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ed…cf1abacked Alana Subasic | 72c | 135.47$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Irem Kurt | 34c | 128.41$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.55 | 423 | 50.8%215 W · 208 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758e…f824backed Alana Subasic | 80c | 125.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x654b…691ebacked Alana Subasic | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Irem Kurt | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2d…cb64backed Alana Subasic | 78c | 107.39$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…9b44backed Alana Subasic | 72c | 104.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Irem Kurt | 35c | 100.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Irem Kurt | 32c | 86.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x123b…b5d2backed Irem Kurt | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…69a5backed Irem Kurt | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 215 | 55.8%120 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Irem Kurt | 26c | 62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x175e…8e46backed Alana Subasic | 66c | 60.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 103 | 63.1%65 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb16…72bfbacked Alana Subasic | 74c | 60.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa8…b6d7backed Alana Subasic | 67c | 60.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed Irem Kurt | 29c | 51.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…fb89backed Alana Subasic | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…266dbacked Alana Subasic | 80c | 46.46$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x548a…e58abacked Alana Subasic | 78c | 46.15$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +206.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef4a…5eebbacked Alana Subasic | 76c | 41.85$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…dea8backed Alana Subasic | 74c | 40.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed Alana Subasic | 75c | 30.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Alana Subasic | 68c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e92…d3d6backed Alana Subasic | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Alana Subasic | 71c | 21.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 399 | 41.9%167 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Alana Subasic | 65c | 20.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Alana Subasic | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.