Other European Leagues · resolved market
Malmo FF vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52fc27d1850956c1701d0b886fc4fb72771264c08d1e0814f3502a6f20cf5e8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,615
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,977
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,615 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 6,504$2,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,712.87 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 36c | 3,315$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 63c | 2,005$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.42 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8629…ce84backed Under | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 37c | 1,086$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.14 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 49c | 926.61$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.57 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eef…83aabacked Over | 47c | 894.09$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.28 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 51c | 729.71$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.02 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea4f…613fbacked Over | 66c | 595.09$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 33c | 492.24$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.44 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 64c | 447.26$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.01 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 48c | 405.57$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.29 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Under | 50c | 405$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 43c | 282.34$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.76 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 41c | 240.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.91 | 187 | 40.1%75 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c6…4727backed Over | 35c | 228.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 31c | 210.2$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.62 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Under | 67c | 189.28$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.46 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…6e60backed Over | 53c | 183.43$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.22 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 38c | 167.15$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.1 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 61c | 155.2$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.43 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 39c | 152.06$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.7wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Over | 34c | 147.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 41c | 136.05$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.96 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 75c | 135$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 51c | 133.86$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.51 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…6674backed Over | 65c | 123.61$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 34c | 115.32$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 44c | 98.95$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.43 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 32c | 78.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef8a…7035backed Over | 80c | 75.91$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.73 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 77cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 67c | 58.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 35c | 56.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 54c | 52.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 32c | 52.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 65c | 51.59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe19b…4b86backed Under | 66c | 51.07$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c41…8794backed Over | 58c | 47.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ed53backed Under | 68c | 47.65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -4.5wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Under | 45c | 46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Under | 66c | 44.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 35c | 43.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 65c | 36.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Under | 68c | 35.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 35c | 33.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -47%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 50c | 32.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over | 53c | 32.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 65c | 32.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 61c | 26.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1497…4414backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Under | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Under | 53c | 19.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Under | 65c | 16.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Under | 68c | 15.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Malmo FF vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 3.5this page
- Malmo FF vs. IF Elfsborg: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Malmo FF vs. IF Elfsborg: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Malmo FF vs. IF Elfsborg: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Malmo FF vs. IF Elfsborg: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Malmo FF vs. IF Elfsborg: IF Elfsborg O/U 1.5Over won
- Malmo FF vs. IF Elfsborg: Malmo FF 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Malmo FF vs. IF Elfsborg: Malmo FF O/U 1.5Under won
- Malmo FF vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 0.5Over won
- Malmo FF vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 1.5Over won
- Malmo FF vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 2.5Over won
- Malmo FF vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 4.5Under won
- Malmo FF vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Malmo FF (-1.5)IF Elfsborg won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.