Other European Leagues · resolved market
Malmo FF vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4489d7bdb60ad0bf152bc2926e48827453d4ce62927914fb8b4b72894663b95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,357
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,687
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,357 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.21 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 73cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 41c | 2,510$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.56 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 15c | 1,657$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.12 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 60c | 1,420$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 56c | 999.94$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.97 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 42c | 923.75$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.47 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 59c | 875.92$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.53 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf990…88bcbacked Under | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Under | 44c | 792.8$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.83 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 42c | 727.78$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.67 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1101…dfd5backed Under | 44c | 700$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 43c | 561.25$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.87 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 44c | 528.96$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cc…3a42backed Over | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 45c | 477.17$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.72 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Under | 40c | 363.58$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.06 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Over | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 69c | 294.95$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.62 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 56c | 271.3$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.37 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 64c | 229.92$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.07 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Over | 57c | 206$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.58 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +7.7wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Over | 62c | 174.54$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.85 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39e7…ceedbacked Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +10.8wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 45c | 163.61$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.62 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf9…d602backed Over | 59c | 153.5$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.94 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 56c | 140.72$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 57c | 118.72$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.05 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 42c | 110.81$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.57 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 58c | 89.05$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…9626backed Under | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 44c | 63.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 187 | 40.1%75 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Under | 45c | 59.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 57c | 57.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb730…e9c2backed Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 21c | 50.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed Under | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Under | 42c | 44.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 40c | 40.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 43c | 39.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf1…7cb7backed Under | 45c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 44c | 32.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 40c | 31.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Under | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -8.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Under | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Under | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -47%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Under | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 58c | 24.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Under | 43c | 24.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 56c | 23.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 56c | 21.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Over | 56c | 21.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 56c | 18.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Malmo FF vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 2.5this page
- Malmo FF vs. IF Elfsborg: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Malmo FF vs. IF Elfsborg: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Malmo FF vs. IF Elfsborg: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Malmo FF vs. IF Elfsborg: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Malmo FF vs. IF Elfsborg: IF Elfsborg O/U 1.5Over won
- Malmo FF vs. IF Elfsborg: Malmo FF 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Malmo FF vs. IF Elfsborg: Malmo FF O/U 1.5Under won
- Malmo FF vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 0.5Over won
- Malmo FF vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 1.5Over won
- Malmo FF vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 3.5Under won
- Malmo FF vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 4.5Under won
- Malmo FF vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Malmo FF (-1.5)IF Elfsborg won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.