CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Black Phoenix - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5347dc218168682b2ee05b778a9d8e1346b1bfba643dbff2c46a2dce5ab8fff2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lavkedof Lavked, Black Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,050
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Black Phoenix | 49c | 2,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.71 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Lavked | 41c | 1,648$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.48 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Lavked | 76c | 869.76$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.42 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Black Phoenix | 53c | 866.9$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.31 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Black Phoenix | 50c | 735.93$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.02 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lavked | 35c | 675.96$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.49 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…555abacked Lavked | 78c | 564.61$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.87 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Lavked | 42c | 379.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.5 | 488 | 51.8%253 W · 235 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Black Phoenix | 60c | 379.36$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.32 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc236…e3d3backed Black Phoenix | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Black Phoenix | 60c | 344.48$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.74 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Black Phoenix | 35c | 285.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.92 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…e7d8backed Lavked | 40c | 282.18$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.6 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…38c8backed Lavked | 77c | 259.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.68 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Black Phoenix | 50c | 244.95$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.33 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked Lavked | 78c | 233.74$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.73 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Lavked | 66c | 227.7$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.49 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Lavked | 49c | 202.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Black Phoenix | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Lavked | 38c | 197.63$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.18 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6d…ab76backed Lavked | 38c | 193$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.66 | 338 | 49.7%168 W · 170 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Lavked | 46c | 180$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.4 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Black Phoenix | 53c | 162.56$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.2 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Black Phoenix | 39c | 161.69$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.05 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…f2eabacked Black Phoenix | 70c | 143.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed Lavked | 34c | 138.76$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.58 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Black Phoenix | 64c | 118.1$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.27 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Black Phoenix | 47c | 109.2$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Lavked | 37c | 107$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.82 | 231 | 56.3%130 W · 101 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Black Phoenix | 60c | 104$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.66 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Black Phoenix | 60c | 104$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.73 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Lavked | 67c | 102.1$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Lavked | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.43 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe35b…b542backed Lavked | 37c | 94.68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.65 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Black Phoenix | 28c | 91.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed Black Phoenix | 71c | 90$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.9 | 404 | 57.2%231 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked Lavked | 42c | 83.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 393 | 53.2%209 W · 184 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Lavked | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…ac54backed Black Phoenix | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8add…141abacked Lavked | 78c | 63.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Black Phoenix | 42c | 56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Black Phoenix | 64c | 48.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 406 | 66.3%269 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Lavked | 45c | 46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Black Phoenix | 62c | 43.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Black Phoenix | 61c | 41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Lavked | 76c | 39.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 98 | 64.3%63 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Lavked | 52c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Lavked | 39c | 32.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Lavked | 36c | 30.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 368 | 56.8%209 W · 159 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed Lavked | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Black Phoenix | 59c | 28.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Lavked | 41c | 28.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d4…ff90backed Lavked | 61c | 26.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…186ebacked Lavked | 52c | 21.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 333 | 62.2%207 W · 126 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Black Phoenix | 62c | 18.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9135…8d9cbacked Lavked | 62c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Black Phoenix - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 PlayoffsBlack Phoenix won
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Black Phoenix - Map 1 WinnerBlack Phoenix won
- Map Handicap: Black Phoenix (-1.5) vs Lavked (+1.5)Lavked won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.