Tennis · resolved market
ITF Lexington: Olivia Lincer vs Anastasia Kulikova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53b63fb4521b62562b7db847ccc842435db03daeeec716cb0796f722a72d8d82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anastasia Kulikovaof Olivia Lincer, Anastasia Kulikova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Olivia Lincer | 39c | 1,896$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.8 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Anastasia Kulikova | 60c | 1,739$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.24 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Olivia Lincer | 62c | 1,516$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.82 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Olivia Lincer | 38c | 1,037$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.13 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Olivia Lincer | 42c | 654.01$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.71 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Anastasia Kulikova | 62c | 595.11$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.14 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Anastasia Kulikova | 62c | 460.89$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.07 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Anastasia Kulikova | 24c | 252.5$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.9 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Anastasia Kulikova | 35c | 243.23$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.18 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Anastasia Kulikova | 60c | 151.11$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Olivia Lincer | 12c | 149.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Anastasia Kulikova | 66c | 140.68$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Anastasia Kulikova | 58c | 137.12$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.59 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Anastasia Kulikova | 62c | 130.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Anastasia Kulikova | 63c | 101.93$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.34 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Olivia Lincer | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.69 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Olivia Lincer | 28c | 99.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Olivia Lincer | 40c | 96.69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Anastasia Kulikova | 59c | 91.68$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Olivia Lincer | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Olivia Lincer | 38c | 70.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Olivia Lincer | 53c | 64.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4826…79dabacked Anastasia Kulikova | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…e3d8backed Anastasia Kulikova | 51c | 49.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 335 | 50.7%170 W · 165 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…3b16backed Anastasia Kulikova | 56c | 46.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Olivia Lincer | 49c | 39.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Anastasia Kulikova | 45c | 39.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Anastasia Kulikova | 57c | 33.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Anastasia Kulikova | 76c | 28.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Olivia Lincer | 39c | 25.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed Olivia Lincer | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 215 | 36.7%79 W · 136 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Anastasia Kulikova | 59c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Anastasia Kulikova | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 337 | 51.9%175 W · 162 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.