CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53d38b9ada2b4f619f66935d4939e61af24e63cf76db199642f73fda2291c9a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-MANA eSportsof ex-MANA eSports, Lazer Cats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,389
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,565
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,389 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked Lazer Cats | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ex-MANA eSports | 50c | 1,922$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.11 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…6158backed Lazer Cats | 51c | 769.97$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.68 | 380 | 52.6%200 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ex-MANA eSports | 49c | 575$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.15 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed Lazer Cats | 47c | 439.97$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.19 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked Lazer Cats | 56c | 349.99$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed ex-MANA eSports | 55c | 226.3$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.35 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…a0edbacked Lazer Cats | 66c | 196$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.36 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ex-MANA eSports | 49c | 165$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.15 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked ex-MANA eSports | 57c | 157.8$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.45 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed ex-MANA eSports | 44c | 136.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.35 | 351 | 41.6%146 W · 205 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Lazer Cats | 40c | 119.46$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa517…179bbacked ex-MANA eSports | 43c | 110.83$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.83 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe47e…4b19backed ex-MANA eSports | 56c | 95.24$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.65 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d5…573bbacked ex-MANA eSports | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f7…43aebacked ex-MANA eSports | 37c | 81.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-MANA eSports | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.63 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed ex-MANA eSports | 57c | 71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…7817backed Lazer Cats | 49c | 61.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 256 | 35.5%91 W · 165 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked ex-MANA eSports | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked ex-MANA eSports | 72c | 47.9$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lazer Cats | 30c | 45.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Lazer Cats | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed ex-MANA eSports | 44c | 39.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Lazer Cats | 40c | 34.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed ex-MANA eSports | 59c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 457 | 48.1%220 W · 237 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked ex-MANA eSports | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…76b5backed ex-MANA eSports | 63c | 25.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 160 | 48.8%78 W · 82 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked ex-MANA eSports | 58c | 20.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Lazer Cats | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6240…54c0backed ex-MANA eSports | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Lazer Cats | 51c | 19.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Lazer Cats - Map 2 WinnerLazer Cats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.