Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53f45f8edfeb65d4304fcac3f9cffe26affba05a2b4c9ee0e684d0a59c42895e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,128
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,838
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,128 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 57c | 2,812$1,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602.56 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Over | 47c | 2,585$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.04 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 58c | 2,163$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.49 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 48c | 991.78$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.62 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 46c | 849.51$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.62 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Under | 69c | 801.94$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.2 | 407 | 41.5%169 W · 238 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5055…b09bbacked Over | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.67 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 57c | 660.75$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.18 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e58…5749backed Over | 47c | 470$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.8 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 57c | 352.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.46 | 647 | 49.9%323 W · 324 L | -24.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Under | 54c | 282.86$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.71 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Over | 43c | 270.69$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.89 | 282 | 35.1%99 W · 183 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 53c | 263.42$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.61 | 488 | 47.3%231 W · 257 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 43c | 249.21$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.05 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…4c28backed Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 42c | 231.35$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.1 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 29c | 230$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.3 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 45c | 220$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 69c | 188.19$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.48 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Over | 32c | 149.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 488 | 44.3%216 W · 272 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f3…b3eebacked Over | 44c | 137.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.11 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 41c | 133.59$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.82 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…2b03backed Over | 43c | 120$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 612 | 56.2%344 W · 268 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Over | 47c | 108.57$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…3373backed Under | 45c | 106$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 32c | 102.94$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.51 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 33c | 97.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Over | 43c | 76.09$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.37 | 273 | 56.8%155 W · 118 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…3fdbbacked Over | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…3c15backed Over | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Over | 52c | 68.4$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fc…5dafbacked Under | 53c | 65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…8259backed Over | 48c | 62.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 381 | 44.6%170 W · 211 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x562c…8597backed Over | 49c | 61.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…f9e4backed Over | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Over | 46c | 51.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 343 | 40.5%139 W · 204 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8038…9547backed Over | 44c | 50.34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Over | 44c | 50.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.01 | 389 | 31.9%124 W · 265 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Under | 59c | 46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Under | 59c | 46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2d…2be7backed Over | 34c | 44.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked Over | 33c | 40.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 273 | 48%131 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2b…de68backed Over | 50c | 40.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bf…147fbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 311 | 59.8%186 W · 125 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 52c | 37.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20aa…b3dcbacked Over | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Over | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…2ff5backed Over | 35c | 34.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…9845backed Over | 36c | 33.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…2d49backed Under | 50c | 31.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Under | 45c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 274 | 47.4%130 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Under | 51c | 30.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 356 | 42.4%151 W · 205 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450d…b3c4backed Under | 62c | 27.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Over | 43c | 25.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 63c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?LGD Gaming won
- Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)LGD Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendJD Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerJD Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerLGD Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.