Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x540582503ce6ce55176684c6f2723bc5b64eb9f0b228e8c48cb60219c15ebbc9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zero Tenacityof VP.Prodigy, Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,192
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,344
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,192 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x913c…39b3backed VP.Prodigy | 17c | 8,975$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.8 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Zero Tenacity | 74c | 2,000$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.58 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b26…6091backed VP.Prodigy | 25c | 1,541$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.28 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Zero Tenacity | 72c | 1,378$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.88 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Zero Tenacity | 68c | 1,078$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.06 | 120 | 65.8%79 W · 41 L | +15.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Zero Tenacity | 76c | 952.22$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.59 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked VP.Prodigy | 21c | 847.25$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.15 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Zero Tenacity | 68c | 701.47$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.47 | 194 | 58.8%114 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5efd…a583backed Zero Tenacity | 68c | 671.26$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked VP.Prodigy | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked VP.Prodigy | 24c | 598.59$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.66 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ed…041bbacked VP.Prodigy | 31c | 557.33$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Zero Tenacity | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…d3f0backed VP.Prodigy | 33c | 450$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Zero Tenacity | 72c | 400$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.42 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Zero Tenacity | 78c | 398.31$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.76 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Zero Tenacity | 69c | 334.81$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.79 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…750abacked VP.Prodigy | 24c | 311.67$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 163 | 28.8%47 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…d109backed VP.Prodigy | 19c | 267.82$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27fd…9187backed VP.Prodigy | 19c | 253.74$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.58 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Zero Tenacity | 74c | 204$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.36 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…be27backed VP.Prodigy | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 210 | 47.6%100 W · 110 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed VP.Prodigy | 23c | 199.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed VP.Prodigy | 17c | 198.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 359 | 48.2%173 W · 186 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Zero Tenacity | 71c | 193.75$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.75 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed VP.Prodigy | 26c | 192$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Zero Tenacity | 77c | 172.47$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.18 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Zero Tenacity | 79c | 171.35$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.81 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9d…d254backed Zero Tenacity | 80c | 161.95$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Zero Tenacity | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 150 | 69.3%104 W · 46 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed VP.Prodigy | 21c | 135.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Zero Tenacity | 56c | 102.27$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 408 | 44.1%180 W · 228 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Zero Tenacity | 68c | 101.47$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef4…477bbacked VP.Prodigy | 41c | 84.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked VP.Prodigy | 22c | 49.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Zero Tenacity | 76c | 46.46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed Zero Tenacity | 67c | 38.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 382 | 44.5%170 W · 212 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9901backed VP.Prodigy | 43c | 35.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Zero Tenacity | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 283 | 36.4%103 W · 180 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Zero Tenacity | 63c | 28.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked VP.Prodigy | 36c | 27.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed Zero Tenacity | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 606 | 60.7%368 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Zero Tenacity | 68c | 24.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…1798backed Zero Tenacity | 75c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed Zero Tenacity | 70c | 19.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 426 | 39.4%168 W · 258 L | -39.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40e6…cb9fbacked Zero Tenacity | 77c | 19.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ce…41acbacked Zero Tenacity | 80c | 16.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Zero Tenacity | 65c | 15.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +11.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…1bfebacked Zero Tenacity | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Group AZero Tenacity won
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 WinnerVP.Prodigy won
- Game Handicap: Z10 (-1.5) vs VP.Prodigy (+1.5)VP.Prodigy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.