TailMyPicks

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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Zero Tenacityof VP.Prodigy, Zero Tenacity
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,501
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,419

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,501 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x26f8…3452backed Zero Tenacity63c3,175$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.5915457.1%88 W · 66 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed VP.Prodigy31c2,774$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.7671143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed VP.Prodigy37c2,609$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.3612259.8%73 W · 49 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed VP.Prodigy31c2,000$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.61,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…744fbacked VP.Prodigy64c2,000$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.991637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-36.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed VP.Prodigy37c1,608$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.2743538.6%168 W · 267 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked VP.Prodigy20c1,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30079159.4%470 W · 321 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x149a…49d0backed Zero Tenacity64c1,400$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51050769.2%351 W · 156 L+33.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc746…3943backed Zero Tenacity38c1,255$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.826440.6%26 W · 38 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Zero Tenacity68c1,118$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.191,44348.7%703 W · 740 L+29.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked Zero Tenacity66c1,118$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.7114943%64 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x731b…83a2backed VP.Prodigy18c789.67$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed VP.Prodigy38c789.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30033951.3%174 W · 165 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Zero Tenacity70c755.33$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.092,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93fd…a5edbacked Zero Tenacity62c568.4$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.9940644.6%181 W · 225 L+0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fe3…ca9dbacked Zero Tenacity54c554.82$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.828944.9%40 W · 49 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Zero Tenacity43c549.37$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.3720342.4%86 W · 117 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f41…547cbacked Zero Tenacity50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25013142.7%56 W · 75 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x88fa…b50bbacked VP.Prodigy14c390$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.56237.1%23 W · 39 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed VP.Prodigy37c384.11$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.0265647.3%310 W · 346 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe075…bf89backed Zero Tenacity36c372.44$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.443240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed VP.Prodigy23c347.04$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.775642.9%24 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-28%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ade…fb15backed Zero Tenacity36c322.28$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.346442.2%27 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xedd0…731cbacked Zero Tenacity73c315.07$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.072100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed VP.Prodigy38c305.26$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11619358.5%113 W · 80 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked VP.Prodigy34c302$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.164957.1%28 W · 21 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Zero Tenacity58c286.11$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.42,36747.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Zero Tenacity47c269$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.5774549.3%367 W · 378 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe00a…d1f4backed Zero Tenacity63c267.15$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.121040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-38.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4255…1792backed VP.Prodigy32c258.25$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6413731.4%43 W · 94 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c73…750abacked VP.Prodigy43c250$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.516328.8%47 W · 116 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-29.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xad2a…99a3backed VP.Prodigy38c250$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9523736.7%87 W · 150 L-17.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-23.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a9d…d254backed Zero Tenacity64c249.81$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked VP.Prodigy47c249.55$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.941,15147.8%550 W · 601 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x597d…b97dbacked Zero Tenacity40c243.73$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.2420538.5%79 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdff…d140backed VP.Prodigy16c231$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f86…404ebacked Zero Tenacity69c230.45$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.911172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+27.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed VP.Prodigy21c230$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.327637.3%103 W · 173 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed Zero Tenacity51c220$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.840844.1%180 W · 228 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x474e…29ccbacked VP.Prodigy11c208.89$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed VP.Prodigy52c207$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.1341055.1%226 W · 184 L+39.6wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe416…7fc0backed Zero Tenacity63c206.35$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.351747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf43f…3b20backed Zero Tenacity49c206.12$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.12520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-59.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x56df…22c3backed Zero Tenacity66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0254…33eabacked VP.Prodigy24c200$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed VP.Prodigy40c199.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7925039.6%99 W · 151 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked VP.Prodigy11c199.23$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7266545.6%303 W · 362 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0867…3023backed Zero Tenacity71c191.3$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.78560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0593…9712backed Zero Tenacity75c179$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.4721769.1%150 W · 67 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed VP.Prodigy59c170.1$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8171142.6%303 W · 408 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1b3…b86cbacked VP.Prodigy54c165.78$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.323565.7%23 W · 12 L+6.2wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+36.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x633f…2104backed Zero Tenacity63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a2e…e1b2backed Zero Tenacity64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.25475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x646a…cd90backed VP.Prodigy40c150$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603826.3%10 W · 28 L-5.8wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3556…3fb4backed Zero Tenacity68c145.53$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.84580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+69.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc29c…1e43backed Zero Tenacity63c142.63$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.634250%21 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4be3…6f63backed Zero Tenacity70c140.78$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.291241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed VP.Prodigy36c140.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.445750.8%232 W · 225 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked VP.Prodigy32c138.49$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7426445.1%119 W · 145 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf3b…9035backed VP.Prodigy38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-61.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x66ac…5e75backed VP.Prodigy38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e3e…a78abacked VP.Prodigy32c118.75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3841244.7%184 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6294…8862backed Zero Tenacity80c114.07$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.071060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3a9…7ae1backed Zero Tenacity73c111.99$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24dc…25abbacked VP.Prodigy29c109$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.611764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed VP.Prodigy30c107.13$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.149935.4%35 W · 64 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4e3…8c11backed VP.Prodigy48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.331136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-29%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed Zero Tenacity54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8396245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b8c…20e4backed Zero Tenacity52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.331163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+30.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed Zero Tenacity35c95.29$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9410837%40 W · 68 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+34%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Zero Tenacity69c90.58$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4290753.7%487 W · 420 L+50.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked VP.Prodigy25c79.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.781,69141.4%700 W · 991 L-40.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x500b…b1a1backed VP.Prodigy38c78.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb308…23a6backed Zero Tenacity61c76$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3016939.6%67 W · 102 L-15.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-23.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xad2c…4eecbacked Zero Tenacity67c71.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4213435.8%48 W · 86 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-28.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x249a…f923backed VP.Prodigy37c65.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.692532%8 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Zero Tenacity54c63.32$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.841,25549.6%623 W · 632 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5867…2e20backed VP.Prodigy40c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2525238.9%98 W · 154 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed Zero Tenacity53c61.3$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.819658.3%56 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec6b…16cbbacked VP.Prodigy33c60.94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-48.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc76…3af1backed Zero Tenacity53c56.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.951442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed VP.Prodigy31c54.24$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7910048%48 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51f4…1408backed Zero Tenacity63c53.71$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.873100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e00…d2bfbacked VP.Prodigy38c50.79$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0db9…9a08backed Zero Tenacity61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8d1…cb84backed Zero Tenacity61c47.29$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.55648.2%27 W · 29 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9997…a2bcbacked Zero Tenacity57c44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.782100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked VP.Prodigy41c43.78$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0118552.4%97 W · 88 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b90…08e7backed Zero Tenacity63c41.82$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4738244.5%170 W · 212 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4efd…02eabacked Zero Tenacity36c41.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.67616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x120e…6850backed VP.Prodigy26c39.42$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.121145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b6f…aab3backed VP.Prodigy49c34.87$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0942160.1%253 W · 168 L+18.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd776…4fb8backed VP.Prodigy31c33.48$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3810939.4%43 W · 66 L+0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Zero Tenacity50c32.58$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.311,89447.7%903 W · 991 L+6.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7e0…0d8abacked VP.Prodigy38c30.61$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6326859%158 W · 110 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77f2…eec6backed Zero Tenacity65c30.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6855457.8%320 W · 234 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Zero Tenacity78c30.36$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6850353.9%271 W · 232 L+26.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Zero Tenacity54c27.98$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8340242.3%170 W · 232 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa402…d14bbacked Zero Tenacity67c27.34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.891040%4 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Zero Tenacity61c23.11$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.946664.2%299 W · 167 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.