Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23ab670b878f173ac4e48fc3ae67587b0825f13a20b26055264ef19811ebdb91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- VP.Prodigyof VP.Prodigy, Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,704
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Zero Tenacity | 26c | 4,433$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.07 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked VP.Prodigy | 71c | 3,102$2,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.55 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed VP.Prodigy | 57c | 2,000$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.69 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b26…6091backed VP.Prodigy | 33c | 1,216$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.27 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe3…ca9dbacked VP.Prodigy | 60c | 1,022$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.89 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Zero Tenacity | 63c | 999.99$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.99 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Zero Tenacity | 29c | 881.78$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.26 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Zero Tenacity | 74c | 864.09$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.96 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked VP.Prodigy | 37c | 774.3$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.81 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed VP.Prodigy | 57c | 614.95$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.97 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed VP.Prodigy | 58c | 494.89$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.09 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked VP.Prodigy | 51c | 300$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.67 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ed…041bbacked Zero Tenacity | 23c | 261.74$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5efd…a583backed Zero Tenacity | 23c | 260.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked VP.Prodigy | 60c | 256$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.27 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…d109backed Zero Tenacity | 28c | 213.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.56 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27fd…9187backed Zero Tenacity | 28c | 213.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.56 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed VP.Prodigy | 72c | 196.86$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 120 | 65.8%79 W · 41 L | +15.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked VP.Prodigy | 76c | 190$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9a…9903backed Zero Tenacity | 67c | 181.32$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Zero Tenacity | 35c | 177.07$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.13 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked VP.Prodigy | 59c | 176.4$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.63 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked VP.Prodigy | 62c | 176.36$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.81 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed VP.Prodigy | 37c | 148.65$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.65 | 426 | 60.1%256 W · 170 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Zero Tenacity | 37c | 147.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09fd…60f7backed Zero Tenacity | 16c | 146.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked VP.Prodigy | 36c | 140.53$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.94 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked VP.Prodigy | 71c | 126$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed VP.Prodigy | 67c | 120.86$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ac…e2a8backed Zero Tenacity | 41c | 109.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed VP.Prodigy | 70c | 107.22$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked Zero Tenacity | 13c | 105.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed VP.Prodigy | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed VP.Prodigy | 33c | 97.49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.32 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed Zero Tenacity | 30c | 90.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 359 | 48.2%173 W · 186 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed Zero Tenacity | 64c | 82.56$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.84 | 387 | 59.4%230 W · 157 L | +26.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed VP.Prodigy | 54c | 76.54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.21 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef4…477bbacked Zero Tenacity | 76c | 74.2$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5447…99b4backed Zero Tenacity | 66c | 73.7$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Zero Tenacity | 44c | 68.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +11.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x069b…1501backed VP.Prodigy | 59c | 66.95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed VP.Prodigy | 38c | 60.79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Zero Tenacity | 44c | 55.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed VP.Prodigy | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b3…b86cbacked Zero Tenacity | 29c | 50.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…174ebacked Zero Tenacity | 44c | 50.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…bcfabacked Zero Tenacity | 30c | 47.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -75%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed Zero Tenacity | 64c | 42.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 382 | 44.5%170 W · 212 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Zero Tenacity | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Zero Tenacity | 65c | 37.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked VP.Prodigy | 61c | 36.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed Zero Tenacity | 42c | 35.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 169 | 39.6%67 W · 102 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Zero Tenacity | 37c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 328 | 6.4%21 W · 307 L | -102.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Zero Tenacity | 55c | 27.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 176 | 36.9%65 W · 111 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc7…e4d4backed Zero Tenacity | 72c | 26.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed VP.Prodigy | 78c | 23.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked VP.Prodigy | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb354…7d49backed VP.Prodigy | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 65 | 72.3%47 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Zero Tenacity | 66c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed Zero Tenacity | 69c | 17.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 426 | 39.4%168 W · 258 L | -39.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…66d1backed Zero Tenacity | 65c | 16.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9195backed Zero Tenacity | 63c | 16.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Group AZero Tenacity won
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 WinnerZero Tenacity won
- Game Handicap: Z10 (-1.5) vs VP.Prodigy (+1.5)VP.Prodigy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.