CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ALKA vs Red Feet - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x548315363bcd75b2908cf7bc92a04bc8d1ec073b913992fa9f37d924dbdde19d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Feetof ALKA, Red Feet
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Red Feet | 43c | 4,094$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,352.92 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed ALKA | 5c | 3,001$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.74 | 293 | 40.6%119 W · 174 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked ALKA | 57c | 2,884$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,636.58 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed ALKA | 28c | 1,366$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.63 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Red Feet | 61c | 1,237$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.34 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Red Feet | 66c | 1,104$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.86 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Red Feet | 53c | 1,033$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.51 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Red Feet | 49c | 683.87$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.82 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Red Feet | 74c | 631.51$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.03 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Red Feet | 52c | 500$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.88 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Red Feet | 78c | 483.27$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.84 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Red Feet | 73c | 429.83$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.16 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Red Feet | 70c | 421.37$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.38 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked ALKA | 37c | 342.04$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.17 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Red Feet | 71c | 339.43$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.75 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…cd7ebacked ALKA | 53c | 284.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked ALKA | 53c | 283$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.43 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ALKA | 30c | 268.68$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.23 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ALKA | 45c | 266.88$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.05 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Red Feet | 47c | 249.61$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.07 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc315…a989backed ALKA | 19c | 233.13$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.92 | 143 | 22.4%32 W · 111 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Red Feet | 44c | 229.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.73 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ALKA | 15c | 223.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Red Feet | 54c | 219.97$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.76 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed ALKA | 48c | 214.14$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.79 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ALKA | 72c | 206$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.32 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1d…2b19backed Red Feet | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd241…6c35backed Red Feet | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…3540backed Red Feet | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccb…6cb3backed Red Feet | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02da…070dbacked Red Feet | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Red Feet | 40c | 184.45$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.67 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed ALKA | 27c | 172.78$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.13 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Red Feet | 71c | 166.58$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.13 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d6…423dbacked Red Feet | 75c | 156.25$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ALKA | 43c | 151.5$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.41 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa781…8745backed ALKA | 11c | 151.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…91f7backed Red Feet | 70c | 142.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 165 | 38.8%64 W · 101 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed ALKA | 15c | 129.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed ALKA | 16c | 102.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked ALKA | 65c | 101.94$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.26 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Red Feet | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.07 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed ALKA | 13c | 96.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…0968backed ALKA | 39c | 85.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 57 | 22.8%13 W · 44 L | -6.3wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked ALKA | 36c | 79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffa…7710backed ALKA | 32c | 69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed ALKA | 15c | 67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked ALKA | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Red Feet | 55c | 56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked ALKA | 54c | 52.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked ALKA | 35c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7415…b585backed ALKA | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf5…1095backed Red Feet | 54c | 49.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked ALKA | 46c | 46.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed ALKA | 36c | 46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked ALKA | 35c | 43.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ca…a3dfbacked ALKA | 37c | 43.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked ALKA | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked ALKA | 74c | 32.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 85 | 64.7%55 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked ALKA | 37c | 30.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…11b8backed ALKA | 52c | 30.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Red Feet | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Red Feet | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 306 | 38.9%119 W · 187 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked ALKA | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 303 | 49.8%151 W · 152 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked ALKA | 46c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Red Feet | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ALKA vs Red Feet - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ALKA vs Red Feet (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group StageRed Feet won
- Counter-Strike: ALKA vs Red Feet - Map 2 WinnerALKA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ALKA (-3.5) vs Red Feet (+3.5)Red Feet won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: ALKA (-1.5) vs Red Feet (+1.5)Red Feet won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.