Middle East · resolved market
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by December 29, 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54cbc853e3a894a8f2840f5cc00aaf44994b3dbe0183bf6ef7c69269348bcfa0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,738
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,882
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,738 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93b6…fb54backed No | 6c | 5,470$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed No | 1c | 3,453$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.23 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…63ffbacked No | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked No | 8c | 2,034$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.67 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…4441backed No | 12c | 1,013$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.56 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7cdfbacked No | 3c | 940.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2853…3482backed Yes | 78c | 712.09$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.93 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +7.2wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x58f5…be7bbacked No | 7c | 684.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.53 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 4c | 634.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 238 | 4.6%11 W · 227 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb25c…6d89backed No | 11c | 619$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.09 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 31cpaid | +44%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3475…eea8backed No | 10c | 589.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc886…696fbacked No | 11c | 578$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +88%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0836…5a7abacked No | 27c | 540.24$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 5c | 499.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 6c | 448$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa05d…3e96backed No | 12c | 448$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 3c | 431.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb055…659dbacked No | 5c | 416.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked No | 5c | 410.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…e281backed No | 3c | 395$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f8…5145backed No | 11c | 388$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +42%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8132…a491backed No | 9c | 380$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83be…6f94backed No | 9c | 355$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7407…19bebacked No | 9c | 283$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed No | 5c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 83 | 6%5 W · 78 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d8…9f12backed No | 12c | 141$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14d4…cc6fbacked No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +105.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…4357backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by December 29, 2025?this page
- Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by January 2, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.