Fifa International · resolved market
Will Florian Wirtz score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54d1fdce07f7a01adc167abe33a924d73f7f1641b9e3f9fb39d542d4cd5d271a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,936
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,936 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 2c | 3,347$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.47 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 601$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 36c | 486.17$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.61 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6071…e933backed Yes | 74c | 388.72$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.44 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +51%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6de6…d900backed Yes | 67c | 300$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…6a92backed Yes | 45c | 200$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.59 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x158d…9c64backed Yes | 59c | 194.05$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.3 | 134 | 54.5%73 W · 61 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 68c | 117.07$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.61 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 56c | 115.84$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.01 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 74c | 105.61$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.78 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 73c | 105$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad9…0eaebacked No | 23c | 105$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.85 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed No | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 82 | 18.3%15 W · 67 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6406…bc04backed Yes | 68c | 73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 55c | 72.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4b…83e2backed Yes | 68c | 51.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 55c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 481 | 40.1%193 W · 288 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked No | 45c | 47.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 172 | 17.4%30 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Yes | 68c | 40.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Yes | 70c | 17.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Florian Wirtz score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Florian Wirtz score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Florian Wirtz score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Florian Wirtz score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Florian Wirtz score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.