Tennis · resolved market
Francavilla: Facundo Acosta vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x556e1d37d3a3758c0e97aa8d4fb33baf1af21ab7a848990a36387e76df07d5a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Facundo Acostaof Facundo Acosta, Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,740
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,740 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 7c | 6,665$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.81 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 5c | 3,146$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.2 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 37c | 2,271$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.57 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 23c | 1,980$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.87 | 223 | 37.7%84 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 11c | 1,973$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 302 | 25.8%78 W · 224 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Facundo Acosta | 64c | 1,579$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.5 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…4463backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 36c | 1,036$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.82 | 274 | 31.8%87 W · 187 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 22c | 1,021$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.76 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Facundo Acosta | 76c | 872.63$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.27 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d1…edabbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 19c | 816.61$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.7 | 71 | 25.4%18 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…3ee8backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 19c | 699.95$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb7…3644backed Facundo Acosta | 73c | 545.18$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.18 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 10c | 512.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 574 | 47.7%274 W · 300 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…9507backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 26c | 441.32$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.38 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…59efbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 295 | 19.7%58 W · 237 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Facundo Acosta | 74c | 208$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.19 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa74c…1f49backed Facundo Acosta | 75c | 166.65$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.66 | 146 | 74%108 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 75cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Facundo Acosta | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 36c | 125$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 19c | 117.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Facundo Acosta | 64c | 112.88$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.64 | 538 | 43.5%234 W · 304 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Facundo Acosta | 67c | 101.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…3ed7backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 30c | 93.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 33c | 91.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 345 | 49.9%172 W · 173 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 26c | 79.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 28c | 68.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3626…3834backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 34c | 62.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Facundo Acosta | 76c | 62$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Facundo Acosta | 66c | 60.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 35c | 54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9addbacked Facundo Acosta | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 386 | 64%247 W · 139 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 35c | 50.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Facundo Acosta | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e7…dfaabacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe37…911dbacked Facundo Acosta | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 326 | 75.2%245 W · 81 L | +20.4wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…c3d9backed Facundo Acosta | 65c | 30.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Facundo Acosta | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 351 | 87.7%308 W · 43 L | +66.4wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Facundo Acosta | 64c | 29.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Facundo Acosta | 75c | 26.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Facundo Acosta | 73c | 20.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 303 | 39.9%121 W · 182 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Facundo Acosta | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…2044backed Facundo Acosta | 80c | 19.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 76 | 68.4%52 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…5eeabacked Facundo Acosta | 80c | 18.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 230 | 73.9%170 W · 60 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 78cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Facundo Acosta | 77c | 16.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Facundo Acosta | 67c | 16.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.