Movies · resolved market
Will "Rental Family" score at least 87 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55bae219f7a38b806048714465ef6cf51eda4b8e03fd896ab8afc2d6db537937
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,698
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,698 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed No | 2c | 1,217$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 750$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93d1…a451backed No | 26c | 367.69$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed No | 20c | 245.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…11a2backed No | 42c | 191.89$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e4…abdfbacked No | 20c | 187$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…6fd2backed No | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…dfbdbacked Yes | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 21c | 123.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa11b…f663backed Yes | 67c | 117.26$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 32c | 84.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…ac0dbacked Yes | 45c | 82.11$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.76 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa71…9767backed Yes | 57c | 77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ec…4477backed No | 43c | 77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf785…e366backed Yes | 41c | 70$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +100.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc09…4461backed No | 29c | 69.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba73…80a6backed No | 21c | 65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 58c | 52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 162 | 37.7%61 W · 101 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb6…32b9backed Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 58c | 42.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4058…8b1cbacked No | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 53c | 39.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 71c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 125 | 39.2%49 W · 76 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f4b1backed Yes | 43c | 25.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b0…d159backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 67c | 18.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 192 | 40.6%78 W · 114 L | -20.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Rental Family" score at least 87 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?this page
- Will "Rental Family" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No won
- Will "Rental Family" score at least 93 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.