Movies · resolved market
Will "Rental Family" score at least 93 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf596cde2996a9e1d1da42cede54e73d21aba3b807b6956202641471c730b5ce8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,142
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,142 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x933f…d300backed Yes | 59c | 484.7$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 27c | 221$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.58 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked No | 67c | 205.02$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.43 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +120.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…6fd2backed No | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.7 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8257…da02backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf785…e366backed No | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +100.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d6…fdd3backed No | 66c | 98.9$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.12 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 36c | 97.49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e5…b7e6backed Yes | 51c | 92.08$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 73c | 85.9$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 125 | 39.2%49 W · 76 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…79c8backed No | 45c | 53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76a5…260dbacked Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4058…8b1cbacked Yes | 72c | 37.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc877…05b4backed No | 35c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 198 | 36.4%72 W · 126 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Rental Family" score at least 93 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?this page
- Will "Rental Family" score at least 87 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes won
- Will "Rental Family" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.