Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Level UP vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x567a489d68f1d5611096f65074a67b2f0603923e1e7380547e461cb7c879e636
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Level UPof Level UP, Ilbirs eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,248
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,414
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,248 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Ilbirs eSports | 34c | 11,717$3,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,961.64 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Ilbirs eSports | 30c | 11,252$3,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,410.43 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Ilbirs eSports | 46c | 5,925$2,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,731.13 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…dfaabacked Level UP | 78c | 5,529$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.74 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…7bbfbacked Level UP | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Ilbirs eSports | 15c | 3,106$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.29 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Level UP | 67c | 2,393$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.21 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed Level UP | 56c | 2,258$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.44 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked Level UP | 69c | 1,853$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.23 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Level UP | 67c | 1,600$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.13 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Ilbirs eSports | 44c | 1,583$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.25 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Ilbirs eSports | 11c | 1,500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed Level UP | 69c | 1,438$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.68 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Level UP | 66c | 1,250$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.57 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ilbirs eSports | 39c | 1,125$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.78 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Ilbirs eSports | 27c | 1,110$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.7 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Ilbirs eSports | 37c | 1,074$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Level UP | 61c | 999.8$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.82 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Ilbirs eSports | 37c | 988.27$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.34 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Ilbirs eSports | 37c | 934.13$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.31 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Level UP | 66c | 903$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.76 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Level UP | 68c | 762.75$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.65 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Level UP | 65c | 761.54$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.54 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Level UP | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 120 | 65.8%79 W · 41 L | +15.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Level UP | 70c | 675.32$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked Level UP | 77c | 673.4$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.32 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Level UP | 63c | 660.9$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.67 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Level UP | 65c | 648.55$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.39 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Ilbirs eSports | 9c | 641.72$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0af2…a2bbbacked Level UP | 55c | 624.99$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.94 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed Level UP | 57c | 600$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac70…97b6backed Level UP | 68c | 577.04$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.54 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Ilbirs eSports | 3c | 571.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…f750backed Level UP | 69c | 566.94$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.07 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc96…2791backed Level UP | 68c | 546.96$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.47 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Ilbirs eSports | 25c | 546.1$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.45 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Level UP | 57c | 536.01$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.65 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Ilbirs eSports | 31c | 517.86$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.54 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Level UP | 51c | 512.99$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.37 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Level UP | 70c | 505$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.7 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2f…d8c2backed Ilbirs eSports | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Level UP | 66c | 470.52$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.65 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Level UP | 70c | 444.69$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.41 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Level UP | 65c | 426$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.99 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Level UP | 65c | 424.78$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.67 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Ilbirs eSports | 25c | 421.47$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.37 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Ilbirs eSports | 27c | 414.23$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.09 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Level UP | 66c | 365.68$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.85 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Level UP | 73c | 360.78$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.69 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Level UP | 73c | 342.47$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.47 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Level UP | 69c | 335.49$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.44 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c73…6dafbacked Level UP | 73c | 313.27$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.68 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Ilbirs eSports | 46c | 305.28$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.41 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Ilbirs eSports | 34c | 299.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -6.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Level UP | 68c | 295.01$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.7 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Level UP | 72c | 293.68$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.21 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed Ilbirs eSports | 13c | 293.39$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Level UP | 78c | 292$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.06 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Level UP | 65c | 281.7$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.28 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Level UP | 67c | 279.9$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.74 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…8386backed Level UP | 64c | 264.95$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.95 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Level UP | 68c | 262.11$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.98 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Level UP | 54c | 249.99$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.15 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Ilbirs eSports | 27c | 240$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 208 | 20.7%43 W · 165 L | -18.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Ilbirs eSports | 46c | 228.26$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Level UP | 67c | 227.48$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.12 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Ilbirs eSports | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Level UP | 66c | 210.07$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.42 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed Ilbirs eSports | 47c | 205.82$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.61 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…4b3abacked Level UP | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Ilbirs eSports | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Level UP | 77c | 199.99$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.19 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Level UP | 64c | 199.86$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.73 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Ilbirs eSports | 34c | 197.94$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.18 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed Level UP | 69c | 182.59$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.78 | 63 | 68.3%43 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf206…df39backed Level UP | 55c | 182.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.24 | 169 | 63.3%107 W · 62 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a53…71a3backed Level UP | 77c | 176.62$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 185 | 62.7%116 W · 69 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Level UP | 78c | 173.11$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Level UP | 77c | 168$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Level UP | 55c | 162.98$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.34 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Level UP | 63c | 157.65$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.29 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…8b4dbacked Level UP | 54c | 157.37$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.39 | 159 | 57.9%92 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Ilbirs eSports | 14c | 153.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Level UP | 65c | 152.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.63 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed Level UP | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…6df9backed Level UP | 70c | 143.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.36 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed Level UP | 69c | 142.85$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 332 | 65.4%217 W · 115 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed Level UP | 73c | 137.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.32 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Ilbirs eSports | 22c | 137$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x142f…19f9backed Level UP | 55c | 124.56$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Level UP | 64c | 124.06$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…60f0backed Level UP | 54c | 109$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.14 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6a…5957backed Level UP | 56c | 107.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.86 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…d69bbacked Level UP | 65c | 107.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Level UP | 64c | 104.33$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Level UP | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Level UP | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 194 | 58.8%114 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked Ilbirs eSports | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -8.4wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Ilbirs eSports | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Level UP | 65c | 95.23$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Level UP vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Level UP vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group BLevel UP won
- Dota 2: Level UP vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 2 WinnerLevel UP won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: LVLUP (-1.5) vs Ilbirs eSports (+1.5)Level UP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.