Tennis · resolved market
ITF Luan: Shihomi Li Xuan Leong vs Riko Kikawada
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x567e733f7137137190341e55eb535ab77e9aff97d44acfff9198efe9700db864
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Riko Kikawadaof Shihomi Li Xuan Leong, Riko Kikawada
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Riko Kikawada | 52c | 42,653$22,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,612.27 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 43c | 25,065$10,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,763.55 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x060f…5a9dbacked Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 68c | 25,021$16,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,984.32 | 76 | 72.4%55 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Riko Kikawada | 39c | 1,845$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.94 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Riko Kikawada | 20c | 1,630$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.59 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Riko Kikawada | 39c | 1,165$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.85 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Riko Kikawada | 19c | 1,045$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.44 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Riko Kikawada | 38c | 898.37$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.18 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Riko Kikawada | 37c | 508.66$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.1 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1340…7f01backed Riko Kikawada | 34c | 352.6$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.79 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Riko Kikawada | 32c | 191.69$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.52 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Riko Kikawada | 36c | 188.43$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.98 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4241…ad76backed Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 52c | 149.65$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.82 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Riko Kikawada | 51c | 113.03$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.26 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…84e9backed Riko Kikawada | 34c | 108.55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.42 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Riko Kikawada | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 300 | 55.7%167 W · 133 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Riko Kikawada | 40c | 93.73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.24 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2721…cf8abacked Riko Kikawada | 32c | 52.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.27 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Riko Kikawada | 33c | 51.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.64 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Riko Kikawada | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 171 | 40.9%70 W · 101 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 68c | 48.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Riko Kikawada | 24c | 44.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.94 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33d2…9ac2backed Riko Kikawada | 32c | 42.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 146 | 44.5%65 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Riko Kikawada | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc38…bb0ebacked Riko Kikawada | 49c | 35.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 193 | 49.7%96 W · 97 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdf…e240backed Riko Kikawada | 43c | 33.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 80c | 31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 304 | 36.8%112 W · 192 L | -19.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Riko Kikawada | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…83a6backed Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 75c | 26.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 71cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Riko Kikawada | 42c | 25.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc03…6650backed Riko Kikawada | 76c | 23.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 80 | 77.5%62 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x918c…ed59backed Riko Kikawada | 46c | 23.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…cebfbacked Riko Kikawada | 56c | 22.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 671 | 78.7%528 W · 143 L | +49.1wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Riko Kikawada | 50c | 20.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…189abacked Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Shihomi Li Xuan Leong | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Riko Kikawada | 53c | 19.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 301 | 47.5%143 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.