Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kassel: Matthew William Donald vs Max Wiskandt
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5693da3be2a75d78177efb1323c3df25ade9dd54249729f47c286b94eedf12b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Max Wiskandtof Matthew William Donald, Max Wiskandt
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,404
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,132
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,404 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Matthew William Donald | 19c | 2,055$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.96 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Max Wiskandt | 79c | 1,685$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec8…4bedbacked Matthew William Donald | 17c | 1,043$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.98 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Matthew William Donald | 25c | 749.97$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.99 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Matthew William Donald | 48c | 349.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Matthew William Donald | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 429 | 30.5%131 W · 298 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Max Wiskandt | 75c | 266.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.66 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Max Wiskandt | 52c | 198.79$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.42 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Max Wiskandt | 52c | 176.6$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.77 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Max Wiskandt | 58c | 168.97$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.97 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a31…ddc0backed Matthew William Donald | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Max Wiskandt | 79c | 141.19$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Max Wiskandt | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Max Wiskandt | 70c | 132.61$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Matthew William Donald | 32c | 100.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Max Wiskandt | 52c | 98.04$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Max Wiskandt | 53c | 96.23$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.23 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Max Wiskandt | 72c | 86.77$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Max Wiskandt | 52c | 80.77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.77 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Max Wiskandt | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Max Wiskandt | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Max Wiskandt | 53c | 52.17$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Max Wiskandt | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Max Wiskandt | 79c | 39.8$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Matthew William Donald | 38c | 39.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…9cf0backed Max Wiskandt | 52c | 38.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Max Wiskandt | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Max Wiskandt | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Max Wiskandt | 79c | 28.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Max Wiskandt | 54c | 27.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 434 | 44.9%195 W · 239 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Max Wiskandt | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d70…f555backed Max Wiskandt | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 77cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.