Cricket · resolved market
T20 Blast: Surrey vs Lancashire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56c30306d3edfff5e4a872b9055304c729cde0d8ef323babe75e36f34dcaf5ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Surreyof Surrey, Lancashire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,111
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,777
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,111 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Surrey | 58c | 1,043$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | +16.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…d3b2backed Lancashire | 32c | 999.99$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.8 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3111backed Lancashire | 42c | 979$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Surrey | 62c | 952.7$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.5 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Surrey | 71c | 754.61$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.64 | 125 | 34.4%43 W · 82 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Surrey | 79c | 522.29$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.96 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Lancashire | 34c | 501.56$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.01 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lancashire | 28c | 492.79$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.83 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Surrey | 67c | 456.09$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.94 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2564…a815backed Lancashire | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Lancashire | 25c | 271.25$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.02 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Lancashire | 40c | 217.88$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.15 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Lancashire | 37c | 216.34$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Surrey | 71c | 199.78$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.47 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Surrey | 68c | 177.4$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.52 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Lancashire | 19c | 176.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc9…a64cbacked Lancashire | 36c | 157$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.52 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Lancashire | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Lancashire | 14c | 146.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 220 | 36.4%80 W · 140 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Surrey | 71c | 143.32$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.77 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x591c…619fbacked Surrey | 63c | 143.23$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad4…f62bbacked Lancashire | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab8…6eaabacked Lancashire | 40c | 98.48$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Surrey | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9027…b562backed Lancashire | 37c | 79.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 86 | 31.4%27 W · 59 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed Lancashire | 31c | 64.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…2296backed Surrey | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 60cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Lancashire | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bef…46c6backed Surrey | 64c | 44.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfa…1e46backed Lancashire | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 43cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3283…23a3backed Lancashire | 40c | 35.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…d48cbacked Lancashire | 39c | 34.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…c9aabacked Surrey | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Surrey | 62c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 174 | 59.8%104 W · 70 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…7dfbbacked Lancashire | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Lancashire | 40c | 28.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…29ebbacked Lancashire | 50c | 27.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c5…1336backed Surrey | 50c | 27.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Surrey | 63c | 26.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf24…e995backed Surrey | 50c | 26.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd565…4eadbacked Lancashire | 50c | 26.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…1d33backed Surrey | 62c | 24.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 270 | 54.4%147 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f7…31d9backed Lancashire | 50c | 20.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e12…a41cbacked Surrey | 50c | 20.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- T20 Blast: Surrey vs Lancashirethis page
- T20 Blast: Surrey vs Lancashire - Completed match?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.