NHL · resolved market
KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Avangard Omsk
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56ef386f8bad44adaf5457c3900d23b36ac455a93acd80a8313eb541afc72eed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avangard Omskof Lokomotiv Yaroslavl, Avangard Omsk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,765
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Avangard Omsk | 62c | 319.83$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.88 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e07…80d1backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 37c | 260.05$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 15c | 221.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Avangard Omsk | 76c | 198.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.71 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 19c | 195.46$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 55c | 180.81$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.64 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 26c | 155.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.23 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Avangard Omsk | 63c | 149.72$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.39 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 20c | 144$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…cfbabacked Avangard Omsk | 46c | 112.53$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e80…6910backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 56c | 97.33$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.02 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 31c | 86.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Avangard Omsk | 70c | 84.4$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 23c | 66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 227 | 28.2%64 W · 163 L | -17.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 54c | 65.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Avangard Omsk | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Avangard Omsk | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 39c | 48.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 51c | 48.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 181 | 49.7%90 W · 91 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…355dbacked Avangard Omsk | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…d3c9backed Avangard Omsk | 47c | 40.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 53c | 37.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb191…28e0backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 36c | 33.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…969abacked Avangard Omsk | 75c | 32.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Avangard Omsk | 46c | 29.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d39…1ca7backed Avangard Omsk | 69c | 26.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 53c | 25.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…3c54backed Avangard Omsk | 47c | 24.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 53c | 19.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 54c | 18.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e11…e1f5backed Avangard Omsk | 76c | 15.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.