TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1d0d…355d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
38
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 59 out of 100; worst MLB at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Jaume Munarbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Jiujiang: Anastasia Zolotareva vs Mei Yamaguchibacked Anastasia Zolotareva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Taylor Townsend vs Rebecca Sramkovabacked Rebecca Sramkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Marta Kostyukbacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Abidjan 2: Niels Visker vs Florent Baxbacked Florent Bax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
La Bisbal: Antonia Ruzic vs Sara Sorribes Tormobacked Antonia Ruzic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Saint-Malo: Celine Naef vs Anna Blinkovabacked Anna Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$144.83
La Bisbal: Xinyu Wang vs Kaitlin Quevedobacked Xinyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$107.69
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$41.33
Madrid Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$149.21
Madrid Open: Arthur Fils vs Emilio Navabacked Emilio Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.09
Oeiras 4: Elena Pridankina vs Fiona Ferrobacked Elena Pridankina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.47
Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+81.2%+$31.61
Madrid Open, Qualification: Anastasia Potapova vs Sinja Krausbacked Sinja Kraus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.49
Madrid Open, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.18
BMW Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ben Sheltonbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.47
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Leylah Fernandez vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.01
All 17 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+146.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+108.8%+$130.59
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$74.57
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$37.29
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.24
All 4 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationalsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.47
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.3
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Avangard Omskbacked Avangard Omsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$23.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "President" be said at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.