TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Rio Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Dusan Lajovic

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Berrettiniof Berrettini, Lajovic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$98,645
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$110,369

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,645 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Berrettini43c17,964$7,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,208.422,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ac0…9d95backed Lajovic60c15,478$9,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,342.161361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Lajovic59c7,560$4,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,460.41,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Lajovic50c6,363$3,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,193.757,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Berrettini39c5,315$2,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,243.71,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Lajovic60c5,004$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00027460.2%165 W · 109 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Berrettini41c3,867$1,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,290.3221147.9%101 W · 110 L-16.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Berrettini57c3,521$2,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,512.268,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Lajovic35c2,151$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.436541.5%27 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Berrettini53c1,839$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.73,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Berrettini71c1,745$1,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.0544360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Lajovic28c1,680$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.4793055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e1e…b911backed Berrettini73c1,631$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.335354.7%29 W · 24 L-6.6wins-0.12per pick67cpaid-20.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Lajovic29c1,502$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.6772452.6%381 W · 343 L+34.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Lajovic50c1,385$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.041,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Lajovic30c1,338$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.292,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Lajovic60c1,333$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Berrettini38c1,316$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.791,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Berrettini39c1,284$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.491,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Berrettini66c1,261$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.7397046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2755…fef0backed Berrettini40c1,252$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.6222634.5%78 W · 148 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb82d…c40dbacked Berrettini46c1,220$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.682152.4%11 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Berrettini38c1,162$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.552,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Berrettini38c1,136$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.4747057.2%269 W · 201 L+16.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Berrettini69c1,071$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.641,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2073…385bbacked Lajovic30c1,040$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3128042.5%34 W · 46 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Berrettini73c1,027$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.414568.3%99 W · 46 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Berrettini68c1,026$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.8999044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Lajovic33c1,016$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.464250%21 W · 21 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Berrettini60c930$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.5969249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Lajovic27c883.94$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.9612147.1%57 W · 64 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Lajovic38c780.39$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.912,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Berrettini39c756.41$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.4151933.1%172 W · 347 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc9f…3314backed Lajovic58c714.34$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.125438.9%21 W · 33 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Berrettini43c704.81$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.7881349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Berrettini71c625.1$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.2887251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Berrettini70c615.72$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.7215532.9%51 W · 104 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Lajovic29c539.72$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.9538133.9%129 W · 252 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Berrettini47c520$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.6913456.7%76 W · 58 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4e1…d80bbacked Lajovic50c516.26$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2608555.3%47 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Lajovic27c491.74$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.1824637.4%92 W · 154 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Lajovic29c481.99$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.151,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Lajovic31c464.29$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.6337339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Lajovic27c463$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.017,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Lajovic53c449.72$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.546,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Berrettini72c416.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6712861.7%79 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Lajovic30c395.01$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.243242.4%183 W · 249 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Berrettini54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3731647.8%151 W · 165 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…ec5ebacked Berrettini63c355.45$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.595149%25 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Lajovic30c334.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9255241.3%228 W · 324 L-2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0b4…150ebacked Lajovic61c327.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014947%70 W · 79 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Berrettini31c323.75$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.7530750.5%155 W · 152 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Berrettini62c309.29$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.494,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Berrettini48c305.02$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.0235730.5%109 W · 248 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Berrettini41c300$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.613134.4%45 W · 86 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3578…f163backed Berrettini73c288.74$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.3539872.4%288 W · 110 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Lajovic41c282.77$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.776,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b64…a351backed Berrettini71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6935268.2%240 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Berrettini72c278.24$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2413356.4%75 W · 58 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked Berrettini72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7824060.8%146 W · 94 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Berrettini72c251.39$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.3965652.1%342 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe42d…62febacked Berrettini71c249.28$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.289870.4%69 W · 29 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Lajovic71c221.53$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.2930645.1%138 W · 168 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Berrettini70c218$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.351,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71f6…e115backed Berrettini49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0814639%57 W · 89 L-14.5wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Berrettini45c201.18$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.6553058.1%308 W · 222 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Lajovic29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583650%18 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x15fe…c871backed Berrettini37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12616133.5%54 W · 107 L+0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Berrettini40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12025355.7%141 W · 112 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda63…b031backed Lajovic29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582564%16 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Lajovic29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019653.6%105 W · 91 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa36c…5754backed Lajovic58c171.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042042.6%179 W · 241 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Lajovic49c170.07$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.4888455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5ad…5692backed Berrettini50c163.12$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.062227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf303…7ee6backed Berrettini73c156.32$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5113066.9%87 W · 43 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Berrettini55c154.64$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.3921957.1%125 W · 94 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Berrettini32c154.05$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.1325957.5%149 W · 110 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb9d6…b98cbacked Lajovic66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+35.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ea3…b910backed Berrettini72c145.83$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.834658.7%27 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Berrettini53c142.3$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.3330254.3%164 W · 138 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70cf…f491backed Lajovic62c141.94$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Lajovic29c139.9$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4029637.5%111 W · 185 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b2b…5752backed Berrettini72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8921454.7%117 W · 97 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Berrettini72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8952460.9%319 W · 205 L+0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46e…db14backed Berrettini73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9918863.8%120 W · 68 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99d5…2149backed Berrettini38c135$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.718540%74 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0866…a1d5backed Berrettini39c134.15$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8316339.3%64 W · 99 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf8b…bff8backed Lajovic28c134$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5237238.2%142 W · 230 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5904…940fbacked Berrettini72c130$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3711465.8%75 W · 39 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Lajovic30c129.02$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.963,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Berrettini71c102.59$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.751,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbebf…9baebacked Berrettini64c101.41$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4190854.5%495 W · 413 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Lajovic29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Lajovic69c100$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade7…6a55backed Lajovic63c95.24$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Berrettini71c87.62$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.71,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed Berrettini54c82.26$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8454249.3%267 W · 275 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82d0…60a1backed Lajovic59c77.87$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.941540%6 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-38.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed Berrettini74c74.32$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3225950.2%130 W · 129 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7353…a4f0backed Lajovic29c70.01$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2054050.4%272 W · 268 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.