TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 7.5 Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,727
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,956

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,727 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd08…04fabacked Over40c299.33$120 inWon+$179.725820.7%12 W · 46 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under66c227.29$150 inLost-$149.518,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Over34c193.95$66 inWon+$128.0111545.2%52 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under60c154.16$92 inLost-$92.453,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over28c153.51$44 inWon+$109.891,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x791c…2ea6backed Under58c105$61 inLost-$60.8757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+69.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under60c93.84$56 inLost-$56.53,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over42c80$34 inWon+$46.42,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x620d…a2f2backed Under65c76.67$50 inLost-$5014374.8%107 W · 36 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb795…1a30backed Under58c60.34$35 inLost-$357749.4%38 W · 39 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-10.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0788…c287backed Over35c60$21 inWon+$3918417.4%32 W · 152 L+0.7wins0.00per pick17cpaid+26.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33e7…4450backed Over38c50$19 inWon+$312040%8 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc972…c7b8backed Over35c50$18 inWon+$32.513138.9%51 W · 80 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over42c49.45$21 inWon+$28.683,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39e7…0fc7backed Over38c44.74$17 inWon+$27.743154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7116…562abacked Over48c41.77$20 inWon+$21.7720339.4%80 W · 123 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e62…79f1backed Over48c41.67$20 inWon+$21.6726449.2%130 W · 134 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x59ab…18c6backed Under62c39.98$25 inLost-$24.7918952.4%99 W · 90 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd46…7a35backed Over38c39.47$15 inWon+$24.47540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under61c30$18 inLost-$18.32,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Under63c18.15$12 inLost-$11.5251458.8%302 W · 212 L+25.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.