Fifa International · resolved market
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58fa2f1ba09bef9a6654b5351e34a4001731d9bd0a619637057d5201d55fd297
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,584
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,584 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 47c | 1,990$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.36 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…2378backed Over | 62c | 1,773$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.85 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…3516backed Over | 54c | 925$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.5 | 224 | 41.5%93 W · 131 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Under | 36c | 769.81$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.19 | 364 | 48.6%177 W · 187 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 59c | 593.22$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 45c | 579.8$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.84 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 60c | 497$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.27 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 48c | 490.49$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.34 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 58c | 395$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.88 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 40c | 346.56$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.57 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 39c | 337$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.83 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 40c | 328$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.04 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 46c | 312$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.48 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 41c | 299.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.23 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 43c | 299.07$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.47 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 59c | 289.68$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.91 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 41c | 238.15$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.51 | 324 | 44.1%143 W · 181 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 44c | 205.18$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.46 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7201…86f4backed Over | 50c | 200.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Under | 42c | 192.2$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.48 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…3b4dbacked Over | 61c | 178.69$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 63c | 176.69$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.16 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849b…a5fdbacked Over | 34c | 148.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.36 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe79f…0204backed Over | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Under | 40c | 122.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.01 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…be1dbacked Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 45c | 82$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…1280backed Over | 31c | 64.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 41c | 64.46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.03 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 52c | 50.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 264 | 55.3%146 W · 118 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…f924backed Over | 59c | 45.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 264 | 49.2%130 W · 134 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Under | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 415 | 51.8%215 W · 200 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 52c | 43.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed Over | 62c | 40.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 190 | 69.5%132 W · 58 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 45c | 40.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Under | 49c | 33.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 480 | 55.2%265 W · 215 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeff5…dd85backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…96cabacked Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Under | 45c | 30.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 305 | 47.2%144 W · 161 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Under | 37c | 29.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 452 | 54.6%247 W · 205 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff9d…3a97backed Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 45c | 22.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 345 | 51.9%179 W · 166 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d62…49c5backed Over | 49c | 21.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Over | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 324 | 33.6%109 W · 215 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 58c | 19.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5 Cornersthis page
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 7.5 CornersOver won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Team to Take First CornerEcuador won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.