Fifa International · resolved market
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 10.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6da4943d027ffc2078a0c6b69befc2418297194f2be4a798bfc2b6e897a44f71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,442
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,869
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,442 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Over | 29c | 4,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.98 | 341 | 25.8%88 W · 253 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 71c | 2,944$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.71 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee8…432fbacked Over | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 71c | 1,464$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.47 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb500…1cdebacked Under | 70c | 1,433$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.55 | 174 | 53.4%93 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 25c | 1,383$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.28 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 71c | 1,369$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.98 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 77c | 1,040$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.85 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…9306backed Over | 29c | 862.07$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Over | 37c | 742$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.42 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 72c | 696.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.07 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 59c | 597.26$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.93 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 28c | 549.45$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.84 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16d4…6e9bbacked Over | 27c | 540.61$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 211 | 28%59 W · 152 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 32c | 500$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Over | 16c | 413.49$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.52 | 349 | 24.4%85 W · 264 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 451 | 20.6%93 W · 358 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…2b4bbacked Over | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Over | 30c | 249.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 15c | 241.04$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…0797backed Over | 22c | 229.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 70c | 226$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.91 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 70c | 202.84$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.84 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd231…633cbacked Under | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 32c | 198.2$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.02 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 29c | 189.35$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.91 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3529…fb0cbacked Over | 15c | 185$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Over | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 70c | 164.67$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 70c | 149.98$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.62 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 38c | 146$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.28 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 67c | 144.32$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.13 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7393…751abacked Over | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 200 | 3%6 W · 194 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 18c | 124$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 72c | 113.01$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Under | 72c | 111.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 78c | 110.62$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…9076backed Over | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x620d…a2f2backed Under | 71c | 98.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 143 | 74.8%107 W · 36 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a0…da23backed Over | 31c | 97.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 97 | 13.4%13 W · 84 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 29c | 73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 64c | 71.71$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 340 | 56.5%192 W · 148 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf647…1f45backed Under | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Over | 29c | 61.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +21.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Over | 30c | 56.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 235 | 28.1%66 W · 169 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0f…d5dbbacked Over | 30c | 56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…d21ebacked Over | 30c | 53.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Over | 29c | 49.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 63c | 46.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0788…c287backed Over | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 184 | 17.4%32 W · 152 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…543dbacked Under | 71c | 37.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…0e0bbacked Under | 71c | 29.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…c187backed Under | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b7…3267backed Under | 71c | 25.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Under | 75c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 324 | 33.6%109 W · 215 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdafd…2072backed Under | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd245…bb24backed Under | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 68c | 20.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4c…7a24backed Under | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +44%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Under | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5 CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 7.5 CornersOver won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Team to Take First CornerEcuador won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.