Fifa International · resolved market
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 2.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x262ba885441a462652db5cfecafada72934fe16180a52a313209e785c0e4d395
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,389
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under | 66c | 4,353$2,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.09 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Under | 60c | 3,378$2,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.12 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 40c | 3,228$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 34c | 1,583$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc5…45c1backed Over | 39c | 1,295$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 35c | 1,182$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.88 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Under | 62c | 842.53$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.2 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…6302backed Over | 35c | 468.57$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 63c | 316.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 60c | 300$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 30c | 266.38$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Over | 38c | 261.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.93 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 38c | 260.03$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.81 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a0…6702backed Over | 39c | 256.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…76b9backed Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 61c | 240.19$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.35 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Over | 40c | 237$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 197 | 13.7%27 W · 170 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 41c | 220.18$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.92 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 35c | 204$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 63c | 204$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.31 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 33c | 196.86$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 61c | 188.32$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.11 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 38c | 184$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.13 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 63c | 171.71$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.53 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 60c | 158.04$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.96 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c68…d4ffbacked Over | 37c | 148.65$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 61c | 142.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.77 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 25c | 114$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc27e…47ebbacked Under | 62c | 109.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.79 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 65c | 103$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 62c | 86.03$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.01 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 61c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 18c | 64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb129…c058backed Over | 40c | 55.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 61c | 37.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a51…4ef6backed Under | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 61c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Under | 60c | 17.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 452 | 54.6%247 W · 205 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 2.5 Cornersthis page
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5 CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 7.5 CornersOver won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Team to Take First CornerEcuador won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.