CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x581bf1e73ec861b6c27f89b30be1bed18795761f9b498c2632f0f80ff9024f2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof Heroic, CYBERSHOKE Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,193
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,862
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,193 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8541…a367backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 35c | 2,513$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.08 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Heroic | 67c | 1,496$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.19 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 2c | 929$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Heroic | 67c | 799.25$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.78 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Heroic | 63c | 743.41$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.66 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 40c | 527.5$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Heroic | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9589…5b36backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Heroic | 62c | 495$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 38c | 463.96$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.31 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 35c | 396.4$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 38c | 387.57$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.94 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Heroic | 70c | 357.62$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4013…406bbacked Heroic | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 150 | 63.3%95 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Heroic | 61c | 260.98$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 755 | 50.6%382 W · 373 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 31c | 223.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 455 | 44.4%202 W · 253 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed Heroic | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 218 | 67%146 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Heroic | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 969 | 45.6%442 W · 527 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 22c | 133.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Heroic | 62c | 125$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc255…0470backed Heroic | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 24c | 115.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac23…c1fcbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -9.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 40c | 102.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 37c | 101$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 23c | 85.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 33c | 67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 303 | 35.6%108 W · 195 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 21c | 56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf4…8c98backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 42c | 48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 1,305 | 26.4%345 W · 960 L | -89.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 25c | 41.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…ab33backed Heroic | 59c | 40.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 195 | 54.4%106 W · 89 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98b5…2b43backed Heroic | 62c | 37.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Heroic | 62c | 32.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Heroic | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Heroic | 73c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfffe…4e6cbacked Heroic | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 277 | 49.5%137 W · 140 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed Heroic | 76c | 18.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Heroic | 72c | 17.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 1 WinnerHeroic won
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 2 WinnerHeroic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.