Premier League · resolved market
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-08-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5846eb06f175fd2786bf91fedaad7659c0d8c3e330ddf7f21387446ba4096030
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,794
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,794 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 35c | 2,715$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.18 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 63c | 2,601$1,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.39 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 38c | 2,258$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.09 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 62c | 1,521$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.66 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 62c | 1,507$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.3 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 4c | 501.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Yes | 16c | 400$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.33 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 37c | 396.71$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.84 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb29…91a4backed No | 65c | 187.02$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…a0aabacked No | 65c | 162.8$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 35c | 142.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…b127backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 62c | 114$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 28c | 89.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 63c | 60.58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…44bebacked Yes | 39c | 47.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 44.49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f12…3f91backed Yes | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 200 | 27%54 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…49c9backed Yes | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed No | 63c | 32.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 37c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 62c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed No | 63c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccad…46ecbacked No | 63c | 19.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-08-15?this page
- Will Bristol City FC vs. Millwall FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Millwall FC win on 2026-08-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.