CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x585ccc7d3a48df7bd35b1329018aa1e24df8a7326ed2bc0d653971b14d752a98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AM Gamingof AM Gaming, CYBERSHOKE Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,249
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf424…9723backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 42c | 1,802$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.83 | 211 | 35.5%75 W · 136 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 31c | 1,691$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.23 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed AM Gaming | 63c | 689.46$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.91 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked AM Gaming | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked AM Gaming | 70c | 494.75$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.27 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 30c | 465$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.54 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 25c | 420.88$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.61 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 36c | 319.06$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.89 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed AM Gaming | 55c | 274$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.02 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed AM Gaming | 71c | 267.79$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.24 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 49c | 249.98$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.79 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked AM Gaming | 47c | 238.51$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.07 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 36c | 218.2$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.92 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 217 | 41%89 W · 128 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 46c | 191.01$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.8 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 58c | 178.81$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.71 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 63c | 178.71$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.17 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked AM Gaming | 54c | 177.7$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.93 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 38c | 138.47$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.66 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked AM Gaming | 42c | 129.26$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.22 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 40c | 122.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 34c | 117.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 29c | 95.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 60c | 77.86$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 36c | 75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 23c | 73.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8885…7712backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 23c | 59.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58d6…e718backed AM Gaming | 80c | 56.56$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked AM Gaming | 42c | 41.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 324 | 58%188 W · 136 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked AM Gaming | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 59c | 36.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked AM Gaming | 42c | 35.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed AM Gaming | 48c | 32.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed AM Gaming | 53c | 30.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed AM Gaming | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed AM Gaming | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageCYBERSHOKE Esports won
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 1 WinnerCYBERSHOKE Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: CS (-1.5) vs AM Gaming (+1.5)AM Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.