Tennis · resolved market
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Sho Shimabukuro vs Stefanos Sakellaridis
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58604e201b0384c4f674f8291826f38d0750b1a0099aafe32d018e1aca0352f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sho Shimabukuroof Sho Shimabukuro, Stefanos Sakellaridis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 70c | 8,119$5,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,468.96 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 16c | 6,400$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.99 | 312 | 34.6%108 W · 204 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 29c | 3,090$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.56 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 16c | 2,416$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.18 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cca…c5c6backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 32c | 1,515$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.57 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd2…fa7fbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.99 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2f…499cbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Sho Shimabukuro | 71c | 1,385$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.73 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 5c | 1,024$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 903 | 35.8%323 W · 580 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc41e…e2e9backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 0%0 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 31c | 999.98$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.99 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 30c | 979.6$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.93 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sho Shimabukuro | 79c | 895.53$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.64 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Sho Shimabukuro | 75c | 804.9$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.9 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 69c | 662.67$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.43 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0094…eea5backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 4c | 599.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Sho Shimabukuro | 67c | 577.93$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.72 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 14c | 468.5$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.59 | 421 | 25.7%108 W · 313 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Sho Shimabukuro | 73c | 410.96$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.33 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 16c | 377.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.7 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 35c | 342.86$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 29c | 309.06$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.07 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Sho Shimabukuro | 67c | 304.76$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.82 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeab…9cd0backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 33c | 302.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 504 | 42.7%215 W · 289 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Sho Shimabukuro | 74c | 301.81$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.47 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 30c | 299.97$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 645 | 37.2%240 W · 405 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd457…5da7backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 31c | 284.19$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Sho Shimabukuro | 76c | 236.71$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.91 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 77c | 189.03$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.87 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8969…2cabbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 29c | 188$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.19 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8711…d2d0backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 32c | 156.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 433 | 58.4%253 W · 180 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Sho Shimabukuro | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 37c | 130.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f06…3e6ebacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 28c | 127.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Sho Shimabukuro | 70c | 107.87$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.36 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b10…3191backed Sho Shimabukuro | 65c | 101.54$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Sho Shimabukuro | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 336 | 47.3%159 W · 177 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3c…5607backed Sho Shimabukuro | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Sho Shimabukuro | 66c | 82.14$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffc…a5b7backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 20c | 78.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -4.2wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4224…31fbbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 221 | 38.9%86 W · 135 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Sho Shimabukuro | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x092a…8577backed Sho Shimabukuro | 69c | 72.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Sho Shimabukuro | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad16…b431backed Sho Shimabukuro | 70c | 65.13$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 67c | 62.2$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 689 | 51.1%352 W · 337 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Sho Shimabukuro | 79c | 58.22$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 69c | 50.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Sho Shimabukuro | 70c | 50.54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 36c | 47.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 36c | 43.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 636 | 48%305 W · 331 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e7…1fffbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 69c | 43.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a5…80d4backed Sho Shimabukuro | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 318 | 53.5%170 W · 148 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6196…1a64backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 37c | 40.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Sho Shimabukuro | 70c | 40.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf39…3394backed Sho Shimabukuro | 68c | 39.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 334 | 62.6%209 W · 125 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Sho Shimabukuro | 78c | 28.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 574 | 47.7%274 W · 300 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…9431backed Sho Shimabukuro | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 71c | 16.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.