Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x588f192011723152549dd81fa04e5240e176599c8d3ba06cfdedc750271e96a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Florida Gatorsof Connecticut Huskies, Florida Gators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,044
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,338
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,044 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c81…fce3backed Florida Gators | 75c | 24,539$18,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,134.69 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Connecticut Huskies | 25c | 17,574$4,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,393.43 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Connecticut Huskies | 49c | 13,066$6,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,366.03 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Florida Gators | 51c | 5,699$2,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,792.61 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Connecticut Huskies | 48c | 5,597$2,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,678.64 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Florida Gators | 53c | 5,080$2,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,366.6 | 128 | 53.1%68 W · 60 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Florida Gators | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Connecticut Huskies | 54c | 4,514$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.83 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Connecticut Huskies | 25c | 4,211$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.31 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Florida Gators | 54c | 3,991$2,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848.49 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Connecticut Huskies | 29c | 2,681$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.59 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Connecticut Huskies | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Florida Gators | 48c | 1,690$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.91 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Connecticut Huskies | 46c | 1,430$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Florida Gators | 47c | 849.58$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.64 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Connecticut Huskies | 52c | 800$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.85 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Florida Gators | 50c | 668$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac6c…a297backed Florida Gators | 54c | 444.44$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Connecticut Huskies | 25c | 430.35$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.59 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Florida Gators | 45c | 399.66$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.81 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8839…8a3ebacked Florida Gators | 47c | 369.81$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Florida Gators | 53c | 290$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.3 | 170 | 51.2%87 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Florida Gators | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Florida Gators | 47c | 205$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.65 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Florida Gators | 51c | 195$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.84 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Connecticut Huskies | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Florida Gators | 52c | 137$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.76 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Connecticut Huskies | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Florida Gators | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Connecticut Huskies | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Connecticut Huskies | 45c | 69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked Connecticut Huskies | 48c | 66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Connecticut Huskies | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Connecticut Huskies | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…2e41backed Connecticut Huskies | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Florida Gators | 52c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed Connecticut Huskies | 48c | 47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…9748backed Florida Gators | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Connecticut Huskies | 25c | 44.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Florida Gators | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Florida Gators | 52c | 34.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Connecticut Huskies | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5227…f9bdbacked Florida Gators | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked Connecticut Huskies | 48c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Connecticut Huskies | 49c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5931…08cbbacked Connecticut Huskies | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b5…6a22backed Connecticut Huskies | 48c | 21.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-4.5)this page
- Connecticut Huskies vs. Florida GatorsConnecticut Huskies won
- Connecticut Huskies vs. Florida Gators: O/U 145.5Over won
- Connecticut Huskies vs. Florida Gators: O/U 146.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.