Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: strongboys vs Power Rangers (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x592d14e662596ed060eed49eaf6f1d632187f0fae4e323d29dc0f3eb9a545524
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Power Rangersof strongboys, Power Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,940
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,940 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked strongboys | 53c | 10,423$5,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,473.15 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Power Rangers | 70c | 5,741$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.85 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac70…2d8dbacked Power Rangers | 53c | 5,500$2,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,584.97 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked strongboys | 26c | 3,482$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.92 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Power Rangers | 49c | 3,102$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.27 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a5…f0a8backed Power Rangers | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Power Rangers | 48c | 1,306$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.74 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked strongboys | 30c | 638.41$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.52 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Power Rangers | 47c | 636.17$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.17 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked strongboys | 12c | 532.87$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Power Rangers | 48c | 509.96$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.31 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Power Rangers | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa81…44a9backed strongboys | 45c | 490.92$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed strongboys | 25c | 422.56$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.07 | 138 | 27.5%38 W · 100 L | -15.0wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Power Rangers | 48c | 364$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.28 | 168 | 35.7%60 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Power Rangers | 58c | 343.71$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.75 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Power Rangers | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad63…fc1dbacked Power Rangers | 47c | 297.87$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.87 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked strongboys | 52c | 290.11$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked strongboys | 76c | 263.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Power Rangers | 47c | 232.04$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.98 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…649fbacked Power Rangers | 48c | 218.75$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.75 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Power Rangers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked strongboys | 40c | 199.88$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Power Rangers | 56c | 172.55$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.55 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed strongboys | 37c | 170.7$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.35 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked strongboys | 48c | 168.95$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.88 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked strongboys | 54c | 157$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.78 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked Power Rangers | 80c | 151.75$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.97 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1099…2c19backed strongboys | 47c | 144.68$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Power Rangers | 78c | 132$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Power Rangers | 51c | 110$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked strongboys | 40c | 107.06$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed strongboys | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked strongboys | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked strongboys | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed strongboys | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed strongboys | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb79…6274backed strongboys | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 171 | 52%89 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed strongboys | 36c | 92.63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked strongboys | 32c | 92.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbe…eb97backed strongboys | 48c | 80.54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed Power Rangers | 39c | 58.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Power Rangers | 63c | 57.71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -12.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…3b0abacked strongboys | 49c | 51.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked strongboys | 40c | 50.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb8…846ebacked strongboys | 30c | 45.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked strongboys | 48c | 41.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 161 | 55.3%89 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked strongboys | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefcc…4883backed Power Rangers | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Power Rangers | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdec…a7a3backed strongboys | 27c | 37.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed strongboys | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked strongboys | 39c | 31.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…5459backed strongboys | 48c | 31.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Power Rangers | 66c | 27.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaba7…1718backed Power Rangers | 59c | 26.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Power Rangers | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed Power Rangers | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Power Rangers | 72c | 17.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: strongboys vs Power Rangers (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: strongboys vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winnerstrongboys won
- Dota 2: strongboys vs Power Rangers - Game 2 WinnerPower Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.