Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: South America Rejects vs 1win (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffs

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x595735a35026652a96a170a8cd8952a56d3cb5a58c0996ea1c48dd76b0c60550

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: 1winof South America Rejects, 1win
Resolved: Apr 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $28,737
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $35,235

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,737 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x913c…39b3backed South America Rejects	51c	4,673$2,381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,380.79	714	54.5%389 W · 325 L	+55.6wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed 1win	25c	2,560$632 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,928.01	810	29.4%238 W · 572 L	-23.5wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked 1win	58c	1,407$815 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$592.03	966	45.1%436 W · 530 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ac2…e183backed South America Rejects	60c	1,063$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$639.87	249	55.4%138 W · 111 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc105…c1b0backed South America Rejects	17c	1,000$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-24%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked South America Rejects	50c	992$496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$496	379	45.9%174 W · 205 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c07…5feabacked South America Rejects	67c	975.42$658 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$657.72	179	54.2%97 W · 82 L	-12.6wins	-0.07per pick	61cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd8b5…54c4backed 1win	54c	966.46$525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$441.25	292	40.8%119 W · 173 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked 1win	35c	667.19$234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$433.67	208	27.9%58 W · 150 L	-11.2wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked South America Rejects	75c	623.51$468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$467.63	99	64.6%64 W · 35 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	61cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked South America Rejects	14c	577.93$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.59	1,275	33.5%427 W · 848 L	-15.6wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked 1win	60c	567.64$342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226	421	45.4%191 W · 230 L	-11.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1145…e384backed South America Rejects	6c	530.29$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.62	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 1win	38c	489.89$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$305.03	1,901	47.6%905 W · 996 L	+4.6wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked 1win	39c	467.39$184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$283.81	670	43.3%290 W · 380 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-14%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf462…2cd4backed 1win	46c	465.82$214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$251.54	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+2.1wins	+0.19per pick	44cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3438…dd93backed South America Rejects	9c	445.28$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.08	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed South America Rejects	16c	390.91$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.94	1,272	45%572 W · 700 L	-40.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffc4…b347backed South America Rejects	32c	352.5$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.21	294	66%194 W · 100 L	+9.5wins	+0.03per pick	63cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0f6…ae59backed South America Rejects	74c	319.25$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.71	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed South America Rejects	56c	304.6$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.64	85	50.6%43 W · 42 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4d5…26eabacked 1win	25c	286.5$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$214.88	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	+12%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked South America Rejects	68c	270.35$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.34	138	50%69 W · 69 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f03…77dcbacked 1win	36c	268.61$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.46	292	40.4%118 W · 174 L	+8.4wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked South America Rejects	75c	246.25$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.69	38	60.5%23 W · 15 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	64cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed South America Rejects	42c	232.22$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.64	1,797	55.8%1,003 W · 794 L	+37.5wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked 1win	57c	224.41$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.73	51	58.8%30 W · 21 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36d7…dacfbacked South America Rejects	57c	221.52$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.51	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed 1win	42c	220.97$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.33	466	49.8%232 W · 234 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed South America Rejects	27c	204.48$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.77	504	44%222 W · 282 L	-7.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked South America Rejects	73c	195.33$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.42	866	59.6%516 W · 350 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…8d97backed South America Rejects	52c	187.97$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.1	57	59.6%34 W · 23 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed South America Rejects	53c	184.59$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.16	66	57.6%38 W · 28 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed 1win	38c	177.86$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.28	253	49.4%125 W · 128 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x848d…9867backed South America Rejects	53c	162.57$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.01	925	61.2%566 W · 359 L	+53.8wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed South America Rejects	32c	148.23$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.7	2,828	43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L	-39.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked 1win	26c	141$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.34	953	42.2%402 W · 551 L	-20.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed South America Rejects	11c	137.91$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.7	98	37.8%37 W · 61 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed South America Rejects	17c	127.12$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.16	1,260	49.7%626 W · 634 L	+21.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ade…fb15backed 1win	38c	101.34$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.83	64	42.2%27 W · 37 L	-4.4wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed 1win	37c	101$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.53	653	37.2%243 W · 410 L	-15.1wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked 1win	39c	100$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61	1,280	45%576 W · 704 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae06…be4dbacked South America Rejects	70c	100$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	73	61.6%45 W · 28 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	63cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked 1win	31c	97.71$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.82	107	28%30 W · 77 L	-8.2wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8384…ddd0backed 1win	30c	91.94$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.36	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+3.0wins	+0.18per pick	50cpaid	+44%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x38c5…0f5cbacked South America Rejects	71c	79.65$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.55	582	50.5%294 W · 288 L	+10.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x810b…0848backed South America Rejects	14c	77.58$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.93	131	44.3%58 W · 73 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18c6…8e8fbacked 1win	42c	69.07$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.11	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d9c…5369backed South America Rejects	42c	67.89$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.55	114	50%57 W · 57 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3ec…2b5ebacked South America Rejects	75c	65.67$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.25	54	50%27 W · 27 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec69…d6d8backed South America Rejects	57c	60.37$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.36	208	58.7%122 W · 86 L	+22.1wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	61+0.09 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed 1win	31c	60.04$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.3	1,034	16.3%169 W · 865 L	-158.1wins	-0.15per pick	32cpaid	-51%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed 1win	34c	60$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.6	360	44.2%159 W · 201 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ee7…9fa2backed South America Rejects	18c	60$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked 1win	37c	52$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.76	350	32.3%113 W · 237 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-22%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa163…3ccbbacked 1win	37c	52$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.76	155	36.1%56 W · 99 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked 1win	37c	52$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.76	690	33.3%230 W · 460 L	-27.9wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed 1win	37c	52$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.76	168	37.5%63 W · 105 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked 1win	34c	51.82$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.46	641	23.4%150 W · 491 L	-18.6wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1193…d9c4backed South America Rejects	57c	51.79$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.26	78	59%46 W · 32 L	+7.1wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3066…693abacked South America Rejects	39c	51.28$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	546	48.5%265 W · 281 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed 1win	42c	43.43$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.19	260	50.4%131 W · 129 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa304…0b05backed 1win	25c	42.02$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.52	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f98…be58backed South America Rejects	70c	37.65$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.52	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.10per pick	65cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe93…8d0ebacked South America Rejects	69c	30.99$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.52	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+1.8wins	+0.11per pick	60cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca3f…806dbacked South America Rejects	78c	25.3$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.74	93	58.1%54 W · 39 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5495…fc8cbacked South America Rejects	59c	24.78$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.63	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	67cpaid	-31%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x839f…c2cebacked South America Rejects	46c	22.27$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.24	199	51.8%103 W · 96 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87b9…b193backed South America Rejects	74c	20$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.8	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	69cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed South America Rejects	73c	19.91$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.54	73	49.3%36 W · 37 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed South America Rejects	56c	19.58$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.97	105	71.4%75 W · 30 L	+6.7wins	+0.06per pick	65cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fbc…c258backed South America Rejects	60c	19$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.8wins	-0.37per pick	57cpaid	-68.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: South America Rejects vs 1win (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsthis page
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs 1win - Game 1 Winner1win won
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs 1win - Game 2 WinnerSouth America Rejects won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: South America Rejects vs 1win (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffs

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event