Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x599de3aaba9b6ccd3933cbf70b5f7e6d90103888e9e5fef51d0567c20eaefe88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,746
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 18c | 26,135$4,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,718.36 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed No | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 20c | 2,900$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 80c | 2,381$1,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.18 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 18c | 1,933$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.9 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed No | 20c | 1,580$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcba…c950backed Yes | 80c | 1,452$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.35 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 18c | 953.72$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.67 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 80c | 825$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9503…1fd2backed No | 2c | 791.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 79c | 737$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.77 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 19c | 724.59$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.67 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 3c | 603.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaae6…095ebacked No | 19c | 518.76$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked No | 2c | 490$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 3c | 460$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Yes | 80c | 317.91$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.51 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 18c | 175.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 8c | 165$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed No | 19c | 114.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…c89ebacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0270…5a30backed Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 18c | 56.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed2…0b3cbacked Yes | 80c | 14.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sporting CP win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will FC Alverca win on 2026-08-22?No won
- Will Sporting CP vs. FC Alverca end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.