TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Gwangju FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,722
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,795

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,722 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over10c1,107$111 inLost-$110.685,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf22b…8f84backed Under78c384.62$300 inWon+$84.623666.7%24 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over20c349.75$70 inLost-$69.582842.4%351 W · 477 L+19.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x849c…38c8backed Under68c299.99$204 inWon+$96922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-65.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2906…555abacked Under72c284.3$205 inWon+$78.841656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over33c261.95$87 inLost-$87.021,30956.8%743 W · 566 L+66.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under74c203$150 inWon+$52.781,02841.7%429 W · 599 L-31.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Under65c150$98 inWon+$52.55244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over26c140.7$37 inLost-$36.5834560%207 W · 138 L+49.3wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+34.1%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over35c140$49 inLost-$4937559.2%222 W · 153 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc60…6c08backed Over10c138.47$14 inLost-$14.28333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-39.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over36c131.32$47 inLost-$47.2769352.2%362 W · 331 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1155…2315backed Under65c100$65 inWon+$356479.7%51 W · 13 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick69cpaid+16.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over38c100$38 inLost-$3821652.3%113 W · 103 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x114e…dcefbacked Under62c100$62 inWon+$382142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under63c74.11$47 inWon+$27.3319753.8%106 W · 91 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under77c70.48$54 inWon+$16.1292835%325 W · 603 L-22.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over22c70$15 inLost-$15.3577056.2%433 W · 337 L+40.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x276d…ea8fbacked Under78c64.1$50 inWon+$14.1977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0daf…17a9backed Over32c62.5$20 inLost-$201656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over26c62.3$16 inLost-$16.237562.7%235 W · 140 L+61.4wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+36.3%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x3b27…0b98backed Under78c51.28$40 inWon+$11.282962.1%18 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over36c50$18 inLost-$1856445.4%256 W · 308 L-25.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fd9…932fbacked Over34c43.95$15 inLost-$15.11770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked Over35c38$13 inLost-$13.312346.3%57 W · 66 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6d8…fd15backed Under78c25.64$20 inWon+$5.64425%1 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick69cpaid-67.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.