Asian League · resolved market
Gwangju FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f29af63939610b1568c43ca92c9bb473bf0cf0efea9c0a983dcff1f4c5a7d48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 51c | 3,244$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.4 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Under | 58c | 1,999$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.45 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Under | 78c | 1,740$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.15 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…89d3backed Under | 58c | 767.06$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.17 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…555abacked Under | 45c | 765.47$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.99 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 22c | 750.71$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.16 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under | 35c | 737.77$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.55 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 41c | 613.55$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.48 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked Under | 59c | 602.27$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Over | 49c | 527.91$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.93 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca0d…2602backed Under | 78c | 510.77$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.37 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under | 51c | 435.24$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.64 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Over | 43c | 435.09$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.09 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…7e92backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +141.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Under | 51c | 384.86$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.8 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…3876backed Under | 78c | 379.49$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.49 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 47c | 355.83$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.24 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 24c | 347.14$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.24 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 58c | 342.7$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.86 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…2b2fbacked Over | 50c | 334.49$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.25 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 50c | 200.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.19 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bad…1e9ebacked Under | 43c | 199.98$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.99 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b3…3b3fbacked Under | 78c | 193.59$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 42c | 115.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.82 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 43c | 113.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 48c | 105.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.26 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45c7…a35dbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Under | 33c | 91.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.51 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Over | 22c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 22c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 49c | 87$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.37 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ff…8a60backed Under | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 42c | 68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 193 | 54.4%105 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 77c | 63.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 22c | 62.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 71c | 62.68$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…a213backed Under | 58c | 61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…a787backed Over | 45c | 56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 23c | 53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Under | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 86 | 67.4%58 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 22c | 48.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 57c | 47.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc986…1654backed Over | 42c | 47.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 61c | 43.62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 49c | 40.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 64c | 40.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 42c | 37.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b4d2backed Over | 50c | 36.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 38c | 26.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 62c | 26.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 47c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 40c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6469…b890backed Under | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 75cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed Under | 57c | 22.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed Under | 60c | 20.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Under | 62c | 16.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ed53backed Under | 78c | 15.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gwangju FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Gwangju FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Gwangju FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Gwangju FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gwangju FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: Gimcheon Sangmu FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Gwangju FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: Gwangju FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Gwangju FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: Gwangju FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Gwangju FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Gwangju FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gwangju FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Gwangju FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Gwangju FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Gimcheon Sangmu FC (-1.5)Gwangju FC won
- Spread: Gimcheon Sangmu FC (-2.5)Gwangju FC won
- Spread: Gwangju FC (-1.5)Gimcheon Sangmu FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.