Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team G vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59d482768fdcb1e8b8d18f7660689babda388f95a891a730671cc2ddf925b169
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Gof Team G, Nemiga Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,842
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,943
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,842 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team G | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Nemiga Gaming | 10c | 700.05$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.45 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Nemiga Gaming | 48c | 627.45$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 195 | 47.7%93 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Nemiga Gaming | 7c | 625$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team G | 54c | 481.89$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.69 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Nemiga Gaming | 7c | 457$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 283 | 36.4%103 W · 180 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nemiga Gaming | 46c | 456.99$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.33 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 45c | 405.3$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.58 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 47c | 300.11$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Team G | 52c | 299.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Team G | 63c | 281.07$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.84 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 48c | 244.58$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.4 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Nemiga Gaming | 18c | 231.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Team G | 56c | 196.14$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.14 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team G | 63c | 189.8$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.69 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team G | 55c | 184.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.81 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team G | 66c | 182.66$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.52 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd592…9618backed Nemiga Gaming | 56c | 171.74$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.83 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -9.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Nemiga Gaming | 49c | 137.24$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.25 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Team G | 51c | 137.24$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Team G | 50c | 110.23$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.12 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Nemiga Gaming | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Team G | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 52c | 72.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed Team G | 49c | 59.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 382 | 44.5%170 W · 212 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…b7cdbacked Team G | 49c | 42.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Nemiga Gaming | 71c | 41.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed Team G | 61c | 29.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team G vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team G vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Open Qualifier PlayoffsTeam G won
- Dota 2: Team G vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 WinnerTeam G won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.