Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team G vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Open Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf71d2b0def55bf83642b1df3c23e37e2a62829dfb95153024d58299a4abbdad3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Gof Team G, Nemiga Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,128
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,128 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb877…4601backed Nemiga Gaming | 33c | 527.28$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.44 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Team G | 39c | 499.99$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.99 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd592…9618backed Nemiga Gaming | 34c | 373.59$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.63 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -9.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Team G | 48c | 349.99$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.49 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36c7…f276backed Nemiga Gaming | 66c | 305.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 55c | 304.13$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.52 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Team G | 43c | 284.82$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.82 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2167…fa33backed Team G | 68c | 281.02$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.02 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 62c | 254.16$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.38 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d03…100ebacked Team G | 72c | 235.24$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.25 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Team G | 38c | 234.16$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.18 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb18…2571backed Nemiga Gaming | 60c | 183.33$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team G | 61c | 177.09$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.67 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team G | 66c | 172.16$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.41 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nemiga Gaming | 52c | 168.05$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.3 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Nemiga Gaming | 57c | 150$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked Nemiga Gaming | 27c | 114.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Nemiga Gaming | 55c | 114.92$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.21 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed Nemiga Gaming | 54c | 102.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfac2…f35fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Nemiga Gaming | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Nemiga Gaming | 55c | 85.55$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.76 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Nemiga Gaming | 27c | 85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffd…08fabacked Nemiga Gaming | 60c | 82.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce8…75f2backed Team G | 71c | 74.02$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 31c | 73.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Nemiga Gaming | 51c | 64.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b35…1dcebacked Nemiga Gaming | 31c | 61.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Team G | 23c | 59.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.06 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nemiga Gaming | 32c | 58.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…e5dfbacked Nemiga Gaming | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Nemiga Gaming | 37c | 48.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f70…133ebacked Team G | 73c | 47.93$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Team G | 33c | 44.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x806c…d4fbbacked Team G | 73c | 40.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba9e…14fcbacked Team G | 64c | 37.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25db…27ecbacked Team G | 74c | 33.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Team G | 33c | 33.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 186 | 52.2%97 W · 89 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed Nemiga Gaming | 42c | 29.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Nemiga Gaming | 59c | 24.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 60c | 23.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Nemiga Gaming | 54c | 22.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Nemiga Gaming | 52c | 19.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ec…d641backed Team G | 78c | 19.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6281…b0c1backed Team G | 78c | 19.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team G vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Open Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Team G vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 WinnerTeam G won
- Dota 2: Team G vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 WinnerTeam G won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.