Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ace72e2d4a6a1d92720bedad961835633a69a8368c7884eca1008de4294232d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof PARIVISION, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Team Liquid | 49c | 12,438$6,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,282.41 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed PARIVISION | 63c | 8,102$5,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,131.19 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed PARIVISION | 45c | 7,701$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Team Liquid | 57c | 4,296$2,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.09 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Liquid | 35c | 2,857$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.36 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Team Liquid | 51c | 2,856$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.37 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed PARIVISION | 72c | 2,776$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Team Liquid | 78c | 2,544$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.6 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid | 47c | 2,535$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.16 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed PARIVISION | 37c | 2,178$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.14 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Liquid | 38c | 1,953$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.44 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked PARIVISION | 50c | 1,511$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.88 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked PARIVISION | 61c | 1,497$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.92 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed PARIVISION | 76c | 919.08$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed Team Liquid | 54c | 865.82$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.82 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad6…a93cbacked PARIVISION | 52c | 801$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.55 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed PARIVISION | 39c | 738.98$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.26 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid | 29c | 655.51$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.08 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked PARIVISION | 54c | 631.64$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…886abacked PARIVISION | 21c | 621.09$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.3 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…7a53backed PARIVISION | 77c | 603.69$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.98 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed PARIVISION | 40c | 532.15$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.83 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Liquid | 33c | 515.78$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.79 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ff…a353backed Team Liquid | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -6.4wins | -0.21per pick | 65cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Team Liquid | 39c | 492.19$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.22 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Liquid | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Team Liquid | 54c | 461.11$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.11 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f5…795bbacked PARIVISION | 38c | 457.45$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed PARIVISION | 44c | 456.73$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed PARIVISION | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked PARIVISION | 26c | 400$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.69 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed PARIVISION | 46c | 395.56$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.96 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed PARIVISION | 79c | 381.77$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed PARIVISION | 39c | 373.02$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked Team Liquid | 57c | 326.44$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.9 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked PARIVISION | 73c | 318.59$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.89 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked PARIVISION | 22c | 318.18$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed PARIVISION | 40c | 317.38$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.95 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Team Liquid | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked PARIVISION | 61c | 287.5$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.05 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed PARIVISION | 75c | 266.13$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.66 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed PARIVISION | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed PARIVISION | 22c | 250$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed PARIVISION | 59c | 227.12$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd15e…db59backed PARIVISION | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed PARIVISION | 25c | 200.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed PARIVISION | 44c | 190$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.55 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked PARIVISION | 41c | 183.73$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.48 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…67cebacked PARIVISION | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe472…008abacked PARIVISION | 35c | 160.91$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed PARIVISION | 18c | 157$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked PARIVISION | 59c | 152.54$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked PARIVISION | 47c | 135$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked PARIVISION | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 149 | 65.8%98 W · 51 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…2359backed PARIVISION | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f46…cddbbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 113.56$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 240 | 52.1%125 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Team Liquid | 51c | 111.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.71 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…b8d2backed Team Liquid | 46c | 108.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.89 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Team Liquid | 51c | 106$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.38 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -7.7wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -30%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed PARIVISION | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed PARIVISION | 77c | 104$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…3499backed Team Liquid | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…98abbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 155 | 46.5%72 W · 83 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed PARIVISION | 51c | 98.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…03cbbacked Team Liquid | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -8.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf03d…21fbbacked Team Liquid | 42c | 92$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.36 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Team Liquid | 43c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed PARIVISION | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Team Liquid | 38c | 72.75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.29 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Team Liquid | 78c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed PARIVISION | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 214 | 65%139 W · 75 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf82d…0e4bbacked PARIVISION | 74c | 66.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0e…9f75backed Team Liquid | 28c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed PARIVISION | 45c | 58.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…09a8backed PARIVISION | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed PARIVISION | 66c | 57.91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bef…be32backed Team Liquid | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…6ae0backed PARIVISION | 54c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked PARIVISION | 23c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d2…83b3backed Team Liquid | 55c | 54.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…dd82backed Team Liquid | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41ee…6577backed Team Liquid | 28c | 52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed PARIVISION | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9201…6078backed Team Liquid | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Team Liquid | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed PARIVISION | 36c | 44.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked PARIVISION | 76c | 40.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Team Liquid | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Liquid | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf883…b8b4backed PARIVISION | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 187 | 64.7%121 W · 66 L | +17.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ee…f8bebacked PARIVISION | 48c | 31.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e83…ecabbacked PARIVISION | 57c | 30.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf837…2814backed PARIVISION | 59c | 28.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed PARIVISION | 54c | 27.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Team Liquid | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb59b…916bbacked Team Liquid | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49db…3c97backed PARIVISION | 55c | 19.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47cc…f7e4backed PARIVISION | 74c | 14.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.