NHL · resolved market
Blackhawks vs. Panthers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ae0353e4f685198753e28edb59e81d2cdac1cbf22edea2216f4529d27f554e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panthersof Blackhawks, Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,192
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,192 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xca43…6fd0backed Blackhawks | 18c | 3,370$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.02 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Blackhawks | 3c | 3,196$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.92 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Blackhawks | 1c | 3,179$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Blackhawks | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.98 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Blackhawks | 2c | 2,545$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Panthers | 78c | 2,500$1,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.66 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Blackhawks | 26c | 2,500$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.87 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blackhawks | 26c | 2,373$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.87 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Panthers | 65c | 1,841$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.55 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Blackhawks | 24c | 1,225$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.19 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Blackhawks | 29c | 1,158$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.92 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Blackhawks | 21c | 1,076$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.96 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Blackhawks | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Blackhawks | 2c | 999.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 101 | 6.9%7 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Panthers | 77c | 877.59$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.85 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Panthers | 79c | 776.79$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.13 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…76fabacked Panthers | 78c | 635.06$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.71 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Panthers | 70c | 585.55$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.66 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Blackhawks | 29c | 500$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -10.5wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Panthers | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Panthers | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Panthers | 78c | 385.43$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.51 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Panthers | 76c | 305.02$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.21 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Blackhawks | 21c | 250$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2235…d67fbacked Panthers | 78c | 205.13$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.13 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Panthers | 78c | 192.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Blackhawks | 23c | 190.69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Panthers | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4902…95ebbacked Panthers | 79c | 117.46$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1556…6504backed Blackhawks | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Blackhawks | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…c29bbacked Blackhawks | 28c | 105$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d9…81d1backed Panthers | 72c | 105$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Blackhawks | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Blackhawks | 19c | 92.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c7…c421backed Panthers | 78c | 83.87$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Panthers | 77c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeed4…d04fbacked Panthers | 77c | 71.43$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e5…7df4backed Blackhawks | 24c | 70.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…6b67backed Panthers | 77c | 68.75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -6.9wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…1655backed Panthers | 78c | 63.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7790…f271backed Panthers | 78c | 60.26$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…7d44backed Blackhawks | 24c | 59.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab3c…5093backed Blackhawks | 23c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…2135backed Blackhawks | 28c | 42.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Panthers | 72c | 42.86$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1984…241ebacked Panthers | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e17…1e7bbacked Panthers | 78c | 27.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe049…ccfcbacked Panthers | 77c | 26.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b7…00c8backed Panthers | 77c | 20.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed Panthers | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 260 | 59.6%155 W · 105 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…7a03backed Panthers | 77c | 15.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd591…f0e2backed Panthers | 77c | 14.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.